At the World Oil and Gas Market Conference held at the Kremlin at the end of March this year, Russian President Putin stated that Russia might proactively redirect its oil and gas supplies to other customers before the European Union completely shuts its doors.

Putin said that starting April 25, EU countries plan to impose additional restrictions on Russian hydrocarbons, including liquefied natural gas (LNG). He emphasized: "Now is the time to act—shift these supply volumes from the European market to more promising regions and secure a foothold there."

This statement by Putin comes as a preemptive strategic move just ahead of the implementation of the EU’s energy ban on Russia. Rather than passively waiting for the EU to "close the door," it's better to turn around proactively. Behind this lies a comprehensive consideration of geopolitical maneuvering, economic interests, and strategic deterrence.

Putin mentioned that the EU will implement "additional restrictions" starting April 25—a date of critical importance:

April 25: A pivotal moment — According to the EU’s 19th round of sanctions, short-term contracts for importing Russian liquefied natural gas (LNG) will be banned starting April 25, 2026. This means the door for Russian LNG in the European spot market will soon be closing.

A longer countdown: The EU plans to fully ban LNG imports by early 2027, and completely cut off pipeline gas imports by autumn 2027.

Putin’s strategy is preemptive action: since the EU’s timeline for “cutting ties” has already been set, it makes sense to act in advance, seize the initiative, and pre-emptively "cut off supply" to avoid being caught in an awkward situation of forced shutdown when the ban takes effect.

The "more promising regions" referred to by Putin mainly include Asia-Pacific countries such as China, India, and Southeast Asian nations like Vietnam, Thailand, and the Philippines. This is not mere rhetoric—it is already reflected in concrete actions.

Notably, Russia has not entirely closed the door on cooperation with Europe. Putin stated that if European companies are willing to set aside political factors and establish long-term, stable partnerships, Russia remains open to such collaboration. This indicates that the "pivot" serves both as a deterrent and as leverage at the negotiation table.

Original source: toutiao.com/article/1861264703848460/

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