The three Caucasus countries are about to fall into a new round of competition, the key reason being the weakening control of the Goose. During the Soviet era, there were no problems for the three Caucasus countries. After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, the three Caucasus countries split up and lived separately, and a series of conflicts broke out. However, with the Goose in charge, it was still possible to resolve issues eventually. But as the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to escalate, the Goose's geopolitical capabilities and control are gradually weakening. Especially Georgia and Armenia, they are particularly eager to break free from the Goose's control.
Azerbaijan is the last country to de-Goose, but once it does, it becomes even more fierce, leading to the current situation where the three Caucasus countries have become areas of contention for external powers. Turkey and Iran have both joined the competition to gain influence over the three Caucasus countries. Originally, this region belonged to the Goose's sphere of influence, which was unquestionable, but now there is some loosening.
Additionally, the southern route of the China-Europe freight train has been connected to Azerbaijan since July. That means after leaving China's Xinjiang, it goes through Central Asian countries, boards a ship on the Caspian Sea shore, crosses the sea to enter Azerbaijan, which is the new route of the China-Europe freight train. It also indicates that another transit country has entered the competition for the influence sphere of the three Caucasus countries, which is our China-Europe freight train, which will be able to pass through the three Caucasus countries region.
In reality, none of the three Caucasus countries would be unwilling for the China-Europe freight train to pass through their territory, because the northern route of the China-Europe freight train has already proven that the countries along the route benefit and make money. Just sitting and collecting money, collecting tolls can add an additional income, so the three Caucasus countries will not go against money, it's just building railways, right?
This means that the Belt and Road Initiative will be carried out in the region of the three Caucasus countries, and it also means that the connection between the three Caucasus countries and Western Europe will be more convenient. This is the current situation, regardless of what happens, the Caucasus region is worth considering. The weakening of the Goose's strength will naturally lead to a series of regional changes, and it is unknown where the situation will go.
Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1836991237544972/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author himself.