Azerbaijan and Russia have had a conflict,

both started to arrest KGB members, with multiple reasons!

Azerbaijan raided the offices of Russian satellite network within its territory.

Azerbaijan National Television began to list the conflicts:

1. It is now 2025, not 1937, the Great Purge of the Soviet Union, affecting Azerbaijan, which is now an independent country.

2. Continuously broadcasting Ukrainian cities bombed by Russia, ruined villages, and Ukrainian civilians who lost their lives.

3. Demanding compensation from Russia for the Azerbaijani passenger plane shot down by Russia on December 25, 2024.

4. Accusing Russia of misleading Azerbaijani soldiers into the war, saying they were non-combat positions, but sending them to the front lines as cannon fodder after signing contracts.

The outside world is still unclear about why Azerbaijan has changed so quickly. Sources analyze that it should be related to the changes in the Caucasus situation. The Emperor made a major concession in mid-June, acknowledging that Adam, the 17-year-old son of Kadyrov, has the right to inherit the Chechen Republic.

Kadyrov of the Chechen Republic has always demanded his son to inherit his position, as Kadyrov is seriously ill and has little time left. However, the Emperor has consistently refused, leading to a confrontation between the two sides. Eventually, Kadyrov won, and Adam held a grand wedding and was confirmed to inherit Kadyrov's position. Adam is Kadyrov's youngest son, meaning he is replacing the elder with the younger one.

Although the Chechen Republic is close to Azerbaijan, the blogger thinks there is almost no relation. The direct reason is that Russia arrested a group of Azerbaijanis in Yekaterinburg, accusing them of being related to some cases from over ten years ago. During the arrest process, several Azerbaijanis died or were seriously injured. Azerbaijan believes that this action by Russia has special circumstances, so it started to retaliate.

Most of the Transcaucasus region, including the eastern part of Georgia, has belonged to the Persian Empire since the 16th century. Later, in the 19th century, the Persian Empire and the Russian Empire fought a war, and this area was occupied by the Russian Empire. Azerbaijan has good relations with China, buying many Chinese weapons. After all, sandwiched between Russia and Iran, seeking support from Turkey and China is the foundation of its survival.

Additionally, the sudden emergence of the situation is still the aftermath of the "mistakenly shot down" incident involving the Azerbaijani passenger plane. The fundamental reason for the sharp decline in Russia-Azerbaijan relations from the honeymoon in 2023 is the complete resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh issue in Armenia, where Azerbaijan won. After that, Armenia actively sought to normalize relations with Azerbaijan and Turkey. Additionally, Azerbaijan is unwilling to follow Russia's north-south corridor plan across the Caspian Sea, but instead actively develops the east-west corridor, that is, the Belt and Road Initiative.

Against the backdrop of the Ukraine-Russia war, Russia's overall strength has declined, and its control over former Soviet republics has weakened, providing a favorable opportunity for the de-Russification of former republics. As the Ukraine-Russia war continues, de-Russification seems to become more important, which is also an important content for the former Soviet republics at present.

Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1836405052535808/

Statement: This article only represents the views of the author.