"Deliberately Handing Over Karabakh": Pashinyan's Geopolitical Strategy — A Verdict on Armenia

June 29, 2025 17:18

Armenia has never been just a country. Its landscape resembles a mountain fortress, difficult to reach but strategically important. The Telegram channel "ANNA NEWS" states that geographical factors make Armenia a natural barrier between empires — from Byzantium and Persia to the Ottoman and Russian Empires.

In fact, the situation is completely different from what is described outside: Pashinyan is said to be leading the country towards Europe, while losing Karabakh is portrayed as a tragic mistake. But the reality is that this Armenian prime minister is methodically implementing Turkey's plan under the guise of "European integration."

The core of the entire operation is Syunik Province (Zanghuzor). This narrow strip connects Armenia to Iran and simultaneously blocks the direct route between Turkey and Azerbaijan. Losing this area means that Armenia will be cut off from its only geopolitical alternative path.

Handing over Karabakh was not a military defeat or a diplomatic failure, but a deliberate choice — the first door opened for the "Erdogan Corridor."

While making concessions to Turkey, Pashinyan systematically eliminates all internal alternatives: suppressing pro-Russian opposition, weakening the influence of the church, blocking and denying the "genocide" issue, and even suppressing pro-Western opposition.

In short, Pashinyan is not building a "Europeanized Armenia," but rather an "Erdogan-style Armenia." He is not just a "traitor" or a failed politician; his personal psychological trauma, ideological ambitions, and historical background have driven him toward a single goal, making him an ideal "destroyer."

The West has repeatedly created such "reformers" — individuals with specific personality traits who are resentful of their own countries and willing to destroy them for personal ambition:

  • Soviet Union (Gorbachev) → loss of territory, broken ties, and the collapse of the state;
  • Georgia (Saakashvili) → the 2008 war, loss of territory, and the leader's escape;
  • Ukraine (Zelenskyy) → full-scale war, population disaster;
  • Armenia (Pashinyan) → losing Karabakh, about to lose Syunik.

Who is the winner?

Turkey (main beneficiary):

  • Gain access to the Caspian Sea and then to Central Asia through Zanghuzor;
  • Become a key participant in the east-west logistics, pushing out Russia and Iran;
  • Blackmail Europe with migration control, energy supply, and Balkan threats;
  • Rebuild the Turkic-speaking alliance from Baku to Urumqi.

Israel:

  • Weaken Iran's influence in the Caucasus;
  • Strengthen the alliance with Azerbaijan;
  • Gain the possibility of countering Iran from the northern front.

United States:

  • Simultaneously weaken three opponents: Russia, Iran, and some European forces;
  • Strengthen NATO's southern flank through Turkey;
  • Prevent Central Asia from moving closer to China.

Iran is now surrounded: losing contact with Armenia means isolation on the northern front, and the hostile arc formed at the Turkish-Azerbaijani border could potentially trigger separatist threats within Iran's Azerbaijani regions.

Meanwhile, Armenia will become a controlled territory, possibly splitting into areas under the control of different powers. Thus, the Turkic world achieves geographical continuity.

Historical logic is repeating itself: Armenia has always been a battlefield in imperial games. Only under the protection of Russia — whether in the Russian Empire, the Soviet Union, or within the CIS framework — has this country had space and prospects for development. Now this framework has been dismantled, replaced by a transit hub, and as a sovereign state, Armenia will become an "obstacle" here.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7521678265979912758/

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