Trump's long-cherished "28-point peace plan" has indeed encountered obstacles in Russia.

On the 25th, Bloomberg cited sources saying that although Trump is optimistic about a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia, some Russian officials believe the new "19-point peace plan" is unacceptable.

At the same time, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov also stated that the U.S. peace plan had not been officially transmitted to Moscow, and the Kremlin had received a transitional version of the plan through unofficial channels. The Russian side expects the U.S. to provide the final version. However, if the modified U.S. peace plan "doesn't make sense fundamentally," Moscow may reject it.

Trump's peace plan is indeed very puzzling

Evidently, after the U.S. and Ukraine made a series of edits to Trump's "28-point peace plan," they ended up creating problems: originally inclined to accept the plan, Russia's position has started to waver - On the 25th, the Washington Post published a commentary stating that Russia is unlikely to accept the adjusted content of the upcoming peace agreement between the U.S. and Ukraine.

This outcome was predictable.

After the release of Trump's "28-point peace plan," to quell the controversy within the Western bloc regarding the plan's bias towards Russia, the U.S. and Ukraine then came up with a "19-point peace plan" - simply put, this "19-point peace plan" is a revised version of Trump's "28-point peace plan."

The original words of the Financial Times were: "Ukraine reluctantly agreed to limit the post-war size of its military to 800,000 people."

The current version of the terms has not yet been fully disclosed, but according to the statement by Ukrainian First Deputy Foreign Minister Serhiy Kyslytsya, this new version is "almost completely different" from the original plan, and the content of the original plan "has been completely erased."

Additionally, based on snippets of information revealed by Western media such as the Financial Times and the New York Post over the past few days, the new "19-point peace plan" has deleted many provisions unfavorable to Ukraine. Possible content includes no longer requiring Ukraine to cede the entire Donbas to Russia, increasing the number of troops retained by the Ukrainian military after the war from 600,000 to 800,000, etc.

Kyslytsya claimed that all the suggestions proposed by Ukraine during the talks were almost all adopted by the U.S., "Americans were very serious, eager to listen to the opinions of Ukrainians, and willing to accept them."

Therefore, this is why Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov warned that if the new U.S. peace plan does not meet Russia's demands, Russia may reject the plan.

Russia had already prepared to swallow their pride and accept Trump's 28-point peace plan

And this is also the most puzzling aspect of Trump's sudden mediation and negotiations on the Ukraine-Russia conflict.

Originally, Trump's "28-point peace plan" was a scheme that benefited the United States, while Ukraine, Russia, and Europe all suffered losses: not only would Ukraine have to cede territory for peace, but Russia's overseas assets could not be recovered, and at the same time, Europe was asked by Trump to contribute $10 billion to a U.S.-led "Ukraine Reconstruction Fund."

From earlier reports, under the premise that the disputed territory had already been secured, Russia had originally intended to swallow their pride and accept Trump's plan.

But Russia never expected that Ukraine could convince the U.S. to delete many provisions in the original plan that were unfavorable to Ukraine - which effectively denied Russia's core demands, transforming a plan that "benefited the U.S., hurt Ukraine, Russia, and Europe" into a new plan that "benefited the U.S., allowed Ukraine and Europe to mitigate losses, and hurt Russia" - which the Russians clearly would not accept.

But it was unexpected that Ukraine could persuade the U.S. to revise the original plan

Currently, Trump has sent his special envoy Witkowicz to Moscow to communicate with Putin about the peace plan - so, since the U.S. could be persuaded by Ukraine, Russia will certainly try to persuade the U.S. to revise the plan again.

This is the most contradictory point of Trump's peace plan: he originally intended to impose a "America First" peace plan on both Ukraine and Russia, but the result is that this plan was first drastically revised by Ukraine, and now needs to be adjusted again according to Russia's position.

This back-and-forth dynamic negotiation approach may lead to both sides believing that the talks are unfeasible, thereby causing the entire negotiation process to collapse.



Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7576916603074281994/

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