On July 13, experts from the Israeli Strategic Studies Institute, Martin Sherman, said: "In order for Israel to paralyze Iran's nuclear program, it needs a larger-scale and longer-lasting strike. In this case, Azerbaijan can play a key role in providing intelligence, infrastructure, and combat capabilities." Azerbaijan has not only fallen out with Iran but also completely broken with Russia, arresting and beating Russian media personnel, closing Russian schools, and even going as far as supplying the Ukrainian armed forces and training international mercenaries, with a number reaching 10,000. The first batch of 1,500 "Turan Mercenary Corps" have already arrived at the front line. It is reported that these mercenaries are composed of special forces who participated in the Nagorno-Karabakh war. A total of 10,000 Azerbaijani mercenaries are currently being trained, and they will arrive in Ukraine later. Behind Azerbaijan is Turkey, whose military strength ranks second in NATO, after the United States. With over a million troops between Turkey and Azerbaijan, not counting their air forces, drones, etc., in terms of military power, Russia and Iran together today cannot match Turkey and Azerbaijan.
Azerbaijan and Russia are neighboring countries on land. If the Russian armed forces now want to attack Azerbaijan, it is unlikely. The current situation is that Iran is actually in danger. Because Armenia has already given in, and in the short term, there is no reason for Azerbaijan to take action. If Azerbaijan launches an attack on Iran, cooperating with Israel and the United States, if a lightning strike is launched, it is possible to capture the Azerbaijani province within Iran.
The core interests of Azerbaijan lie in its surrounding territories, and it relies on Turkey behind. Turkey's traditional rivals are Russia. The betrayal of Russia against Armenia and Iran's betrayal of Syria have made Armenia decisively leave Russia, and have also made Azerbaijan decide to firmly align with Turkey and break with Russia.
Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1837513769088011/
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