Vietnam has been developing well in recent years,

capitalizing on the opportunity of the China-US trade war,

has indeed gained a lot, but Vietnam has its flaws,

two inherent major flaws,

which determine the ceiling of Vietnam's development.

First, the issue of territory. Vietnam's total area is too small, meaning the probability of discovering various mineral resources is much lower than that of vast countries, and it is also impossible to provide sufficient land for the development of heavy industry. Without heavy industry, Vietnam's development would only be an illusion.

Second, the terrain is long and narrow from north to south, this defect is even worse than the small total area. A long territory necessarily means insufficient centripetal force at both ends of South Vietnam and North Vietnam, with a tendency towards centrifugal force. Subtly leads to political instability, great internal consumption in Vietnam, and high national governance costs.

Especially the movie "Ne Zha 2" before its release in Vietnam, sparked a huge quarrel between South Vietnam and North Vietnam, the two sides directly clashed, which showed that the north-south issue in Vietnam had reached a confrontational level, forcing Vietnam to stop screening the movie "Ne Zha 2".

Britain and Japan have overcome their problems, but it was still based on the objective fact of being an island nation. Because even if an island nation splits, it is still living on one island. The Vietnamese authorities have been trying to break out of the situation, almost unified the Indochina Peninsula, even marched northward, but each time they were crushed! And according to the current trend, it is highly likely to be crushed again for more than a century, leading to Vietnam's rise being hopeless!

The main part of Vietnam's economy is controlled by the Vietnamese military engaged in business, making it impossible to break through. Vietnam's infrastructure is not perfect, power relies on input from Guangxi, and if foreign capital from Europe, Japan, and South Korea withdraws from Vietnam, it will immediately collapse. If Vietnam does something that crosses the line, it will not let Vietnam go easily. Therefore, Vietnam's development depends on everyone's color, otherwise it will immediately fail.

Vietnam is now almost at a bottleneck. Since the reform and opening up, it has been more than forty years. Vietnam still has no breakthrough in basic aspects such as electricity, energy, and transportation, let alone breakthroughs in industries. Vietnam's economic dependence on the outside is 200%, a typical case of economic two ends outside, it is easy to be choked, and even choked to death.

Opening up cannot make the country develop. Before China's reform and opening up, it was already an industrialized country, and had developed into the sixth largest industrial country in the world. Various water conservancy, thermal power plants, steel mills, electronic factories almost every city had. The reform and opening up actually just upgraded production lines, manufactured industrial products that met the requirements of Western trade markets, and the industrial foundation had already been laid.

There is no industrialization in Vietnam's reform and opening up, so what is the use of opening up? Nowadays, Vietnam has not developed heavy industry, there are only many assembly plants, always want to upgrade the industry, but even electricity and transportation are not good, how to upgrade? It's not possible to complete it just by talking about it. So it is unlikely for Vietnam to achieve development and growth in the short term.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1834552910440456/

Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.