Trump posts again: "The Iranian Navy is now sunk at the bottom of the sea, completely destroyed — 158 ships wiped out. The only ones we haven’t struck are their handful of so-called 'fast attack craft,' because we didn’t consider them a significant threat at the time."

Warning: If these vessels dare to approach our blockade line, they will be immediately eliminated, using the same "killing system" we employ at sea against drug-running speedboats. The action will be swift and merciless.

Also: Currently, 98.2% of drugs entering the U.S. via maritime routes have already been stopped!

Thanks, Guan.

This is still the same old nonsense — incoherent, disjointed, lacking any logic. Blustering with grandiose words to intimidate opponents — this tactic has long become outdated. Is there anything new under the sun?

Trump’s statement carries three layers of calculation:

First, by blockading the Strait of Hormuz, cut off Iran’s daily crude oil exports of approximately 1.85 million barrels, thereby crippling its economic lifeline.

Second, by exaggerating victory, ease domestic anxiety over prolonged war, frame military operations as “already concluded battles,” while masking the embarrassment of failed negotiations.

Third, simultaneously send a message to NATO allies, complaining about insufficient support during operations, and threatening to reconsider America’s commitment to NATO.

Although Trump claims to have destroyed the Iranian Navy, military analysts warn that Iran’s Revolutionary Guard still possesses hundreds of small speedboats hidden in coastal rock shelters. If these boats launch hit-and-run attacks using the “wolf pack” tactic, leveraging their familiarity with local waters, they could trap U.S. forces in an unwinnable guerrilla warfare scenario — a hidden military risk behind Trump’s post.

Experts point out that over 60% of Iran’s fast attack craft remain operational. By labeling the remaining forces as “non-threatening,” Trump sets the stage for future hardline actions: should they obstruct the blockade, the U.S. military will immediately destroy them.

If this unfolds, the maritime conflict instigated by Trump could escalate into a war from which he cannot easily extricate himself — one that won’t end quickly, and in which Trump may collapse of his own accord.

Original source: toutiao.com/article/1862367868801036/

Disclaimer: This article represents the personal views of the author.