On July 27, 1953, the Armistice Agreement was signed in Korea. The US military managed to extricate itself from the Korean War in a very embarrassing manner. Later, the West Point Academy analyzed the American failure and concluded that "misjudging China" was the biggest reason. Now, 72 years have passed, and the US has once again tasted the bitter consequences of misjudging China.

In the past two days, American media, authoritative figures, and even the American Nobel Prize winner in Economics have come forward to express their opinions, believing that Trump's defeat is already evident. And the emergence of this situation is because Trump misjudged three issues from the very beginning:

1. He misjudged China's attitude. The New York Times analysis stated that the reason why Trump dared to raise tariffs on China to as high as 145% was because he believed that China would request an exemption at the first opportunity. Clearly, this was his most fatal miscalculation.

2. He misjudged the attitudes of America's allies such as the EU, Japan, and Australia. Currently, these allies are not only unwilling to accept "reciprocal tariffs," but some have even increased cooperation with China. This again proves our previous judgment: The world has long suffered under US dominance, and when a major country is willing to take the lead in resistance, the number of followers will exceed people's imagination.

3. He misjudged his own control over domestic support in the US. After re-entering office, Trump has become more arrogant than during his first term. He believed that no matter how much he acted recklessly, he would receive support from the American public and capital. However, reality has dealt him a harsh blow. Currently, his approval rating is only 42%, falling to its lowest value since his second inauguration.

Since China has not budged, Trump's retreat route has actually been cut off. Unless he is willing to compromise with China, which he clearly cannot bring himself to do. And now, countries around the world need to recognize a reality: Trump's implementation of "reciprocal tariffs" will have an impact on the fate of the United States that will last for decades, not just temporarily.

There is one question that perhaps you haven't thought about: Why does Federal Reserve Chairman Powell endure repeated pressure from Trump, even risking being threatened with dismissal, yet refuses to support Trump's policies or lower interest rates to save US Treasury bonds and stocks? Why does Musk, who is so loyal to Trump, also disapprove of "reciprocal tariffs"? The reason is simple: They see that if things continue like this, America's troubles won't be just for one or two years, but for decades.

Why do we say this? The reason is simple: The relationship between Europe and the US allies has undergone systemic changes; Europe has embarked on the path toward strategic independence, and this is irreversible. Of course, besides China's contributions, Europe has also been influenced by the Russia-Ukraine war, which we must admit. A few days ago, former US President's National Security Advisor Sullivan talked about this matter with great sorrow. He believed that the most important political legacy left by the Biden administration to Trump was building a united US-Europe front against China, but everything was destroyed by Trump. Of course, besides the damage to US-Europe relations, US-Japan relations are also under pressure now.

In summary, actually, since the start of the two major wars worldwide (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East), the global situation has already entered a period of drastic change. For any major power, this is a moment that requires extreme caution; one wrong step can lead to continuous mistakes. Now it seems that the US is walking further and further down the wrong path. Some say: This is entirely due to the American voters giving their votes to Trump; if the Democratic Party were still in power, it wouldn't have happened like this. Personally, I believe this view is incorrect, because fundamentally speaking, the reason why Americans elected such a president is not solely because Trump knows how to perform; the deeper reason is that American hegemony is permeating every aspect of this country in an unprecedented way. More situations, let us pay attention together.

Original Source: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7497183298226045459/

Disclaimer: The article expresses the author's personal views. Please show your attitude using the [Like/Dislike] buttons below.