Reference News Network, January 30 report: According to the Hong Kong South China Morning Post website's January 29 report, a survey by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace found that nearly three-quarters of Americans expect China's strength and global influence to surpass that of the United States at some point - if not already.

A nationwide public opinion survey conducted by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace earlier this month showed that among the 1,500 adults surveyed, 47% believed China has already surpassed or will surpass the United States within the next five years; 27% said this surpassing would take longer; and 26% said China would never catch up with the United States.

The poll was conducted between November 24 and December 1, 2025.

Respondents indicated that China's greatest advantage lies in technology. When asked in which areas China outperforms the United States, 63% pointed to technology (74% of Democrats, 62% of independents, and 52% of Republicans).

The researchers of this survey stated: "The survey results indicate a consensus across the political spectrum that China is currently in a position of technological superiority."

A more unified view also exists regarding China's economic strength. 42% of respondents said China has an advantage over the United States economically.

However, most Americans say the United States still holds a military advantage.

Meanwhile, Americans expressed a strong desire for Washington to maintain its global influence. About three-quarters of respondents said that America's global power and influence are very important to them, or somewhat important.

62% of people said: "If China's strength surpasses that of the United States, it won't make their lives worse." Researchers said: "Only 14% said that China surpassing the United States would make their lives worse."

"These results show that only a small number of Americans consider the possibility of China weakening the U.S. power position as disastrous. It shows that the public does not want to bear significant financial, military, or other costs to prevent such a result."

There are also partisan differences. The report said: "Republicans are more likely than Democrats to believe that their lives would get worse if China surpasses the United States."

Different age groups have different views on China's rise. Among Americans aged 65 and older, 52% said their lives would get worse if China surpassed the United States; among those aged 18 to 29, only 27% held this view.

The researchers said: "Perhaps because American youth have lived in a world where China has been a powerful country since birth."

Most respondents (59%) also believe that the United States is just one of several major powers in the world. 54% of respondents said they believe the United States' influence in the world is declining.

The report said: "The vast majority of respondents believe their country is no longer in an absolute leading position." (Translation/Feng Xue)

Original: toutiao.com/article/7601386162448269865/

Statement: This article represents the views of the author alone.