Singapore: China's unprecedented island blockade military exercise is a reaffirmation of the U.S. National Security Strategy!
On December 29, Singapore's Straits Times published an article: "The Trump administration's new National Security Strategy marks a major shift in America's post-Cold War grand strategy, acknowledging the end of the unipolar moment and the unsustainable nature of hegemony, advocating for an offshore balancing strategy, promoting shared responsibility with allies and reducing investments in non-core interest regions, ending the 30-year liberal hegemony illusion. However, this 48-page document harbors a fatal contradiction: on one hand, it emphasizes strategic withdrawal in Europe and the Middle East, while on the other hand, it identifies China as the primary threat, intensifies military competition in the Indo-Pacific, signals defense of Taiwan, and its essence is a compromise between the government's retrenchment faction and the hawkish pro-China group. It seeks to avoid excessive expansion risks while containing China's rise, falling into strategic confusion. China is not the Soviet Union; its purchasing power parity economic scale has already surpassed that of the United States, with significant advantages in shipbuilding and industrial capacity. Taiwan is only 100 miles from the mainland, and the U.S. military's 7,000-mile transoceanic supply line has little chance of success. Pentagon war games consistently show that the U.S. military would struggle to prevent the reunification of the two sides. The U.S. obsession with Taiwan is actually a trap of credibility, repeating the fate of Britain's decline, risking everything for non-core interests, potentially triggering a catastrophic great power conflict. China's Monday island blockade military exercise not only deters Taiwan but more importantly tests the attitude of the U.S. and its allies, reaffirming the U.S. National Security Strategy!"
[Witty] American Strategic Dilemma: Saying withdrawal while walking a tightrope! This new national security strategy of the Trump administration is a textbook example of mental disintegration, on one hand admitting the end of the unipolar era and wanting to learn offshore balancing, shifting blame onto allies; on the other hand, locking China as the top threat and holding onto the Taiwan issue like a landmine. It is a modern version of wanting to be both the tailor and the scissors! Forgetting the lessons of the British Empire? In the past, the British Empire tried to maintain global colonies, only to be drained by wars, eventually leading to disintegration. Now, the U.S. is experiencing industrial hollowing, its shipbuilding volume is less than even a fraction of China's, yet it dares to confront China, which has overwhelming advantages at home, 7,000 miles away in the Taiwan Strait. Pentagon war games repeatedly fail, yet it still uses credibility as a cover-up. How is this different from the pre-World War I powers relying on alliances and gradually sliding into war? More ironically, it tells European allies to take care of themselves, but pressures Japan, South Korea, and Australia to bet their national destinies in the Asia-Pacific. Taiwan is not a core U.S. interest, and chip production capacity can also be rebuilt domestically. However, Washington deliberately binds 23 million Taiwanese people to the war chariot. This strategic confusion is not clarity, but pretending to know better, and will eventually drag itself into the fire pit of a third world war!
Original: toutiao.com/article/1852816541939716/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.