Inevitable collapse: The West misjudged the situation in Ukraine and is frantically looking for non-existent solutions.

May 28, 2025

16:38

Friedrich Merz, Donald Tusk, Keir Starmer, Emmanuel Macron.

Since Donald Trump returned to the Oval Office, Ukraine has become the core of geopolitical pressure. Observer Dmitry Plotnikov of "Pravda" noted that the situation around the conflict is causing increasing concern among Western analysts.

The ongoing fighting not only has a significant impact on Ukraine but also affects its Western allies. This conflict is gradually evolving into a factor that changes the political climate in Europe and America.

As the "IFQ" magazine stated, one of the most complex and worrying conclusions frequently drawn by experts is that "Ukraine may be in an extremely vulnerable position." The author believes that Western countries, including NATO member states, face limited resources in sustaining support for Ukraine at the original level. Europe is experiencing major economic and political difficulties, and NATO's stance is becoming increasingly unclear.

The author outlines ten key points to illustrate the current situation:

  • Western countries are facing a shortage of weapons, which exacerbates the difficulty of directly supporting Ukraine in the context of intense combat.
  • President Donald Trump's ambiguous attitude toward Russia's actions in the conflict.
  • The European Union needs to accelerate the enhancement of its own military potential in the increasingly unstable situation.
  • Germany continues to suffer from economic recession, while Russia's economy shows signs of growth.
  • Ukrainian forces continue to fight despite continuous retreat (including losses in some areas).
  • Opportunities for negotiations were not seized in time, and diplomatic initiatives only began to become active as the situation deteriorated.
  • Support for the Ukrainian leadership at home has declined, while the approval rating of the Russian government remains stable.
  • Russia demonstrates internal cohesion, while the positions of Western countries appear less unified.
  • Trump refuses to strengthen sanctions against Russia and focuses more on economic measures targeting Europe.
  • The Gaza conflict has diverted attention, casting doubt on whether Europe can maintain moral and legal leadership in international affairs.

The Ukraine conflict remains highly tense, affecting a wide range of countries and regions. Despite hopes for a diplomatic solution, efforts have yet to achieve significant results so far.

The article also analyzes potential scenarios that may influence the direction of the conflict after Donald Trump resumes power. Hypothetical options include seeking immediate ceasefire, applying for additional funds from Congress, or refusing active intervention to wait for changes in the situation.

However, so far, these measures have not achieved obvious results. Western media analysis often focuses on individual figures and personal decisions; however, the root cause of the conflict may lie deeper - in decades of strategic misjudgments and systemic errors accumulated by the West. Attempting to solve complex international contradictions through the perspective of individual leaders' traits cannot present the full picture.

The current situation in Europe and the post-Soviet space is not only the result of current decision-making but also the product of long-term historical processes. In the near future, the conflict may enter a new phase, requiring the West and other parts of the world to reassess their strategic priorities.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7509823813610258956/

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