Baltic Clouds: Kyiv and London Plot Torpedo Attack to Trigger Naval Clash

In order to drive a wedge between Trump and Putin, Ukraine plans to fabricate an incident of US warship attack to frame Russia.

Author: Dmitry Rodionov

Commentary Guests: Alexander Averin, Alexander Dmitrievsky, Vsevolod Shimo

The Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) of Russia claims that Ukraine and the UK are preparing provocative actions in the Baltic Sea region.

The press office of the SVR stated: "At present, Ukraine is colluding with the UK to plan provocations in the Baltic Sea region. One of the schemes involves staging an incident where Russian torpedoes supposedly attack US warships."

The statement mentioned that Ukraine has delivered "Soviet/Russian-made" torpedoes to the British side, planning to detonate them at a 'safe distance' from the US ships. It is planned that one of the torpedoes will 'malfunction' and be publicly presented as evidence of Russia's 'malevolent activities.'

The SVR of Russia stated that it has evidence of other subversive activities being prepared by London and Kiev, aimed at disrupting the Russia-US negotiation process, escalating the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and attempting to persuade US President Donald Trump to continue providing military aid to Kiev.

The statement noted: "The UK is responsible for planning and logistics support, with specific execution carried out by personnel from the Ukrainian Security Service (SBU), the Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) of the Defense Ministry, and their agents."

"Such situations cannot be ruled out," Vsevolod Shimo, presidential advisor of the Baltic Sea Research Association of Russia, believed, "after all, we have already seen multiple attempts to frame Russia in the Baltic Sea region."

This magazine: If this were really the case, what would be their intention? Is it to make Trump immediately withdraw from negotiations or do they think we will back down out of fear?

At least it will create an unfavorable public opinion atmosphere. Trump cannot remain indifferent; in the worst-case scenario, the Russia-US negotiation process will be indefinitely suspended.

This magazine: Are they not afraid of triggering World War III? This could be used as a pretext for war...

Nowadays, the boundary between peace and war has become very blurred. We may not see traditional wars declared like in the 20th century. Russia and Ukraine are not officially at war, but they are actually in conflict; Iran and Israel mutually launched missile attacks without formally declaring war. It might be the same this time.

This magazine: Ukraine might be desperate, but what does the UK gain from this?

The UK's policy is to incite chaos globally and take advantage of the situation, which is nothing new.

This magazine: Why choose US warships? Would they believe such provocations?

Whether they believe it or not, a negative public opinion atmosphere has already been formed. Besides, Americans will never publicly admit that this was a provocation by Ukraine and Russia.

This magazine: Why choose the Baltic Sea? How 'credible' does it look?

The Baltic Sea is a base for the Russian fleet, and the situation here has long been tense. From a 'credibility' perspective, it is the best location.

This magazine: If the provocation is exposed, will it not happen?

Russian intelligence might be selectively ignored by the other side. Once a provocation is decided upon, they are likely to adjust details, delay timing, and try to complete the plan.

This magazine: What else can we expect? Does 'they' only refer to Russia and Ukraine? Will there be involvement from other forces?

"They" are not just referring to the UK but the entire EU, specifically the "war faction"—which currently holds power—including NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg and Defense Minister Maas, who aims to revive Germany's European leadership. Not only at sea, but provocations could also occur on land and in the air, such as incidents near Russia's borders with the Baltic states or Poland, or conflicts at the Polish-Lithuanian border—any events that could strengthen the position of the "war faction" might occur.

"Ukraine and Russia launching attacks under 'another flag' (this time Russia) sounds no more bizarre than the 'Nord Stream' pipeline explosion in 2022," said Alexander Averin, a former defense personnel of the Lugansk People's Republic. "In today's world, anything is possible. Trump is emotional, and if a US warship is attacked, he might overreact."

Though it may not lead to World War III—even during the Cold War between the US and the USSR, such incidents did not result in mutual attacks—the provocation against US warships could severely worsen the situation in the Baltic Sea. Don't forget, the reckless politicians of the Baltic states, who are willing to risk their own safety, have openly discussed blockading the Kaliningrad Oblast—this itself is not preparation but a warlike action.

However, after such messages are released, exactly the same provocation may not occur, but events like the destruction of international cables or the "accidental" sinking of Estonian or Lithuanian warships are entirely possible.

"Think about the Gleiwitz Incident," said historian, columnist, and permanent expert of the Izborsk Club, Alexander Dmitrievsky. "The Nazis staged a provocation by dressing prisoners in Polish uniforms, which triggered World War II; then consider how the US waved a 'laundry powder tube' at the UN, claiming that Saddam's regime was developing weapons of mass destruction."

All this shows that when the West wants to accuse us, it will stop at nothing. The worst part is that the truth cannot be found in the West—this means we must establish our own defense system to expose the enemy's conspiracy: provocations are like circus magic, and they are most dangerous to us when people around us don't understand the tricks.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7517115864110350884/

Disclaimer: The article represents the views of the author alone. You can express your attitude by using the buttons below [Upvote/Downvote].