Azerbaijan not only attacked Russia from behind. All evidence has been obtained: What decision will Tehran's "Tower" make? Get ready!
Author:
Sergei Radischev
The Iranian state television broadcast testimony from witnesses in the border areas of Iran, who saw drones flying into Iranian territory from Azerbaijan during the 12-day war. It was reported that Israeli fighter jet auxiliary tanks were recovered from the Caspian Sea. Moreover, Israeli special forces entered Iran from somewhere. Tehran has already identified that Israelis are operating from bases established in the abandoned Nagorno-Karabakh area, which is approved by Baku, although Baku naturally denies it. Now, Tehran is deciding what action to take. The Iranian president - an Azeri, Masoud Pezeshkian, seems to want to avoid taking decisive measures, while the Iranian military is eager for action. For Iran, which is targeted by the West and Israel together, and lured Baku to break away from Russia and covet the eastern Azerbaijani region of Iran, the current situation is very complicated. Meanwhile, Moscow calls Azerbaijan a "strategic ally." We will see.
Tehran also has a power core similar to the "Kremlin Tower." Iranian state television aired reports from villages near the Azerbaijani border. Local residents said they had seen drones and military aircraft flying from Azerbaijan into Iran during the 12-day war and then returning to Azerbaijan. They are convinced these are all Israeli. Residents also described detailed situations. These places were not bombed, so this is not the result of mass psychological panic.
"Who knows what people come from the neighboring country - spies or something else," local residents indeed feel very uneasy.
Screenshot source: Telegram channel "Caucasian Chronicles"
However, at the same time, the Iranian president Masoud Pezeshkian, known as the "pro-Western faction" and "reformist," recently met with leaders of Azerbaijan, Turkey, and Pakistan at a regional summit held in Stepanakert (Ganja), which had been cleared of Armenians, and he showed a mild yet somewhat confused attitude. He stubbornly called these reports rumors. At a meeting of the Gilan Provincial Administration Committee, Pezeshkian claimed that the security agencies had found no signs of military cooperation between the neighboring country and the "Zionist regime."
How to explain the ambassador's statement?
This statement is very strange because even public publications have listed facts of such cooperation. However, more interestingly: According to the statement of the Iranian ambassador to Yerevan, Mehdi Sobhani, it was this Pezeshkian who had called President Ilham Aliyev of Baku on June 26, asking him to seriously investigate the reports about drones and micro-drones entering Iranian airspace from Azerbaijan.
How warm was the meeting between the Iranian president and the Azerbaijani president in Ganja!
Subsequently, it was reported that Tehran had submitted written evidence to Baku, and according to reports, Israeli officers participated in the launch of these drones.
"We are waiting for the results of the investigation. After the results come out, we will decide how to respond."
This statement by Sobhani was cited by Fars News Agency, which is affiliated with the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. The news agency also stated, "If Azerbaijan allows such actions, it must provide an explanation under international law."
After that came the "warm embrace" in Karabakh, and Pezeshkian continued to publicly insist that these were all "rumors," supported by Iran's minorities and the liberal circles in Tehran.
The Iranian president's gloomy mood has its reasons: Baku firmly denies it and is not going to admit anything. The day after the Iranian ambassador to Yerevan made his statement, the head of the press department of the Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry, Ehsan Hajizadeh, stated:
"We strongly reject the accusations by the Iranian ambassador to Armenia, Mehdi Sobhani, that Azerbaijan's territory is being used against Iran, especially the claim that Israeli drones launched attacks from Azerbaijani territory."
The head of the press department of the Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry, Ehsan Hajizadeh, strongly rejected the statements of the Iranian ambassador.
Hajizadeh accused Sobhani of "open provocation" and claimed that "there is no authoritative evidence to prove this." He also reiterated:
"Azerbaijan firmly opposes any country using its airspace or territory to conduct military operations against neighboring Iran or any other country."
"Firmly opposes," "any other country"... Who does this refer to? Is it again Russia?
Hajizadeh did not hide the signal to Tehran: Do not complicate bilateral relations through various investigations, and should punish the pro-Armenian ambassador to Yerevan.
Where is the firm stance?
In short, let's see if Tehran has the courage to face reality and make the right decisions. The previous Iranian leadership, including President Ebrahim Raisi and the former foreign minister, had the ability to do so, but they died in a suspicious helicopter accident after returning from negotiations with Azerbaijan.
As early as 2021, the Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian stated that the presence of "Zionist forces" in Azerbaijan intensified regional tensions. Later, he also died tragically.
This allowed certain people to act freely.
"Removing the tumor"
For example, the Israeli military now openly says that the war with Iran is just "on hold," and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu continues to address the Iranian people, urging them to "remove" their country's "tumor" and expresses willingness to "provide help," repeating the invasion.
Trump's Oval Office must have discussed the Israel-Iran conflict with Netanyahu.
This is the scene of Netanyahu's recent meeting with Trump at the White House. In closed-door talks, they undoubtedly discussed this extremely important issue for Netanyahu, who dreams of destroying Iran. "Peace builder" Trump and his advisors do not rule out the necessity of such actions.
The core of the conspiracy - Baku
This is not just a problem for Iran! Azerbaijan has been involved in this plan, probably intending to annex parts of the Iranian territory where there are Azeri populations. Everything is clearly marked on the "Colonel Peters map."
There is no doubt that Baku sees that Russia is preoccupied with the war against the entire West in Ukraine, and Azerbaijan is providing significant aid to Ukraine, especially ammunition and explosives, and therefore wants to weaken or even completely eliminate the Armenian factor, which is crucial for Iran in many aspects.
Then, it may make territorial claims against Georgia, where Azeris are the main minority and live mainly in the east of the country. Moreover, unlike Georgians, Azeris have a faster population growth rate, while land does not increase.
Then - please note, it's Russia's turn - Baku's hands may reach Dagestan - one of the most unstable regions of Russia, where some ethnic groups are separated by the borders of the two countries. Why not reunite them with their co-ethnics living in Azerbaijan? Why not rely on the strong and closely united Azeri diaspora to try to gain something from Russia's hands?
The timing of the attack is obvious: when NATO is ready to fight Russia - about ten years later, and if Ukraine still has anything left at that time, it will recover and be ready to start another war. Thus, attacking the Russian Federation, known as the "prison of nations," from the inside. What if it succeeds?
What then?
And what about Moscow? After the provocative incident of Azerbaijani planes targeting Grozny, despite Baku's pro-Ukrainian policy, killing peacekeepers in Karabakh, humiliating journalists, and kidnapping hostages, it still dreams of reconciling with it?
Alas, everything remains the same. Still dreaming like this. On July 7, the presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov said at a press conference:
"We still believe that logic only points to one thing: Russia and Azerbaijan are now, and should continue to be, the closest partners and allies. The two countries have a common history, a common present, and a common future. Of course, the issues that have arisen must be resolved in a constructive way, and this way should conform to the spirit of our bilateral relationship."
Azerbaijan immediately responded. A court in Baku rejected an appeal by the lawyers of Igor Kartavkh and Yevgeny Belousov, the director and editor-in-chief of the Russian Sputnik Azerbaijan branch, to change the compulsory measures. According to APA news agency of Azerbaijan, the four-month imprisonment sentence by the first instance court remains valid.
Interestingly, do our officials know that in the school textbooks of countries that relied on Russian support during the Tsarist and Soviet periods and are now independent republics, how Russia is described? They really should open them up - then everything would be clear. In such soil, Western provocateurs can achieve many things. If Moscow continues to dream, and so does Tehran, our situation will be very bad. Someone has already set their eyes on us, and it's real.
Just responding is not enough, and we often fail to do even that, despite having the full capacity to do so. For example, Azerbaijan accounts for only 0.6% of Russia's foreign trade. Baku depends much more on Moscow.
Moreover, Azerbaijan is a man-made country, where even there are separatist issues (Talysh). Social tensions are eased only because an enemy image is created, and now Russia is included in it. And we? Indifferent! Even when the "closest partner and ally" is dissatisfied, in the end, we will release the detained Azeri criminals.
Thus, we ourselves will be responsible for what is happening, because we follow Tolstoy's principle, practicing unconditional forgiveness. Alas, such principles are particularly disrespectful in the Caucasus and Transcaucasia regions.
Blogger Igor Dmitriev rightly pointed out in his Telegram channel:
"I just want to remind you that a whole set of alliance treaties were signed between the Kremlin and Azerbaijan a few days before the special military operation began. Last year, the two presidents met four times, including Vladimir Putin's visit to Aliyev's residence in Baku. Ilham Aliyev knows Putin better than many others, understands the actual capabilities of the Russian leadership, and can assess the prospects of Russia. But these have completely failed to impress him anymore."
Perhaps, it's time to take action to show deterrence?
The world is in the process of redrawing boundaries and reshaping, because the old structures are outdated. This is an objective process. Azerbaijan is also involved in it - cooperating with Russia while opposing it. This is determined by the political, geopolitical, economic interests and the conspiracies of the West of the two countries. We cannot ignore this. As for Baku, it is not willing to compromise with those it considers weak and disrespectful, seeing concessions as a given, and its ambitions are growing. I want to reiterate, it's all our fault - in their view, everything they do is correct.
Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7525335238529073718/
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