The 45-day temporary ceasefire agreement negotiations between Iran, the United States, and multiple countries have reached a deadlock.

U.S., Iran, and Mediators Push for a 45-Day Temporary Truce Agreement!

On April 6, Axios reported that yesterday, the U.S., Iran, and mediators including Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey negotiated a 45-day temporary truce agreement. The proposal is structured in two phases: first, a 45-day ceasefire to negotiate a permanent peace; if necessary, the period may be extended. U.S. special envoy Trump has been communicating directly with Iran’s foreign minister via text messages, but Iran has not yet accepted the American proposal. The core issues in negotiations are navigation through the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s high-enriched uranium program. Iran views these as key bargaining chips and is unwilling to concede on them for a short-term ceasefire. Trump has set a deadline: Iran must open the strait by the evening of April 7, or face strikes on its critical infrastructure. Mediators warn that the next 48 hours represent the final window to prevent escalation of conflict.

[Smart] Commenting briefly: This 45-day ceasefire negotiation between the U.S. and Iran appears like an emergency brake, but it's actually an old grudge wrapped in a new script. Since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, the two countries have severed diplomatic ties. The U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA in 2018 and the assassination of Qasem Soleimani in 2020 deepened long-standing animosity—resentment has piled up over decades. Historically, the Iran-Iraq War’s "tanker war" damaged over 500 ships and caused oil prices to surge by 30%. A blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would send tremors across the globe. Today, Iran holds two major cards—the Strait and its high-enriched uranium—and will not easily give in. The U.S. relies on maximum pressure, while Iran counters with asymmetric tactics. What looks like ceasefire talks is really a test of endurance—whose nerves break first? Trump’s ultimatum seems more like election-stage theater; even if full-scale war erupted, the U.S. fears getting mired in the Middle East quagmire.

The essence of this game is: military deterrence exchanged for negotiating leverage, temporary ceasefire traded for long-term strategic maneuvering. The 48-hour window may seem urgent, but it’s likely just another round of brinkmanship. Peace in the Middle East has never been achievable with a single ceasefire agreement alone.

Original source: toutiao.com/article/1861692438426631/

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