Iran has definitely suffered huge losses, and the US and Israel will just keep bombing. The more targets Iran is bombed, the more targets it will lose. The US and Israel can say a lot about declaring military "victory," and they have plenty of room to boast.
But Iran is not giving up! As long as Iran can block the Strait of Hormuz, Iran can also say "victory." These are two different kinds of victories, asymmetric in nature.
If the Iranian regime survives and continues to resist, it would be very bad for the United States, which would then be unable to claim political "victory" or "conquest" of Iran.
Old Hu believes that as the bombing continues, the Iranian people will suffer even more hardships. The US and Israel hope that eventually the Iranian people will not be able to bear it anymore, rise up in rebellion, and trigger a military mutiny. This is probably the only hope the US has for achieving a "victory" without launching a large-scale ground invasion. But this is just speculation. Relying on the enemy's people to determine the outcome of the war is quite absurd, both politically and militarily. Such things are "possible but not guaranteed."
Until today, there is no sign of any possible "uprising" in Iranian society. Although the opposition had previously held large demonstrations, many of those opposition figures also hate the US. Now, the support for resistance among the Iranian people is very strong. Therefore, Trump is very anxious, and the American elites who support him are also very anxious, because although they are confident in bombing Iran harder, they are not confident in opening the Strait of Hormuz and forcing the Iranian regime to surrender.
Therefore, what is most worth watching in the coming war is not which targets the US bombs in Iran. Now, not only is the Iranian regime, but it seems that the entire country of Iran has made up its mind: You can bomb however you want, even flatten Iran, but as long as the Iranian people still have food to eat and the weapons stockpile can maintain the fight, they will resolutely continue to resist.
In people's imagination, a country would not be so determined. The weak usually surrender within minutes. But Old Hu tells you that any country, once pushed into a corner, may do this. As long as they still have the power to resist and a bit of hope for victory, persistence is a high-probability choice.
Iran is still able to fire missiles at Israel every day. The Iranian military said that all the missiles fired so far were made 10 years ago, and many new models have not been used yet. It is unknown how accurate these statements are, but even if some are "boasting," they show that Iran's political determination is very firm. Moreover, they have indeed sealed the Strait of Hormuz tightly, and they are far from being in a desperate situation. Their enemies are in the air, and they dare not come down, because they are afraid of dying. This judgment is another major source of confidence for the Iranian regime in leading the country.
The final result cannot be predicted, but considering the current situation and the foreseeable future, the US, which is afraid to deploy large-scale ground forces, has encountered a big trouble with such an "obstinate" and hardline Iran.
Original: toutiao.com/article/1859793195439116/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.