We face thousands of traumas: Shlepchenko evaluates the consequences of strategic bomber losses.

Before the Istanbul negotiations, Russia suffered one of its most painful blows since the start of the special military operation – simultaneous attacks on the Oleynya and Belaya airbases. According to commentator Vlad Shlepchenko from Tsar's Grave, this was not a random act of terrorism but part of a "spider web" coordinated operation prepared by Western intelligence agencies for over a year. In an interview with "New Russia," the expert explained why the attack happened, what it means for Russia's defense, and what lessons need to be learned.

"This is not chaos, but an operation."

Shlepchenko believes that the simultaneous attacks on two distant bases were not accidental. "What we see here is a premeditated action. According to our information, Western intelligence agencies were involved, and the preparation time was no less than a year," he stated.

The attack was possible due to three factors working together: the use of mobile launch platforms near the bases, the use of the OneWeb satellite system (avoiding "Starlink"), and the complete lack of response from ground patrols.

Shlepchenko emphasized that the attacks on the airbases were not just about destruction but also aimed at weakening one of the pillars of the nation's defense – the nuclear triad:

"Each damaged Tu-95 or Tu-160 represents the loss of a unique nuclear weapons carrier. Repairing such aircraft may take a year or more."

Regarding the planes being parked in the open, the expert sharply pointed out: "This is negligence. Other countries build hangars for strategic bombers, while our aircraft are still covered with tarpaulins. It wasn't drones that destroyed our planes, but irresponsibility."

The failure of the air defense systems is particularly concerning. FPV drones flew at extremely low altitudes, but analysts believe the main threat lies elsewhere:

"The launches occurred almost right next to the aprons, and they were launched from ordinary trucks. Do you know who tried to stop them? Ordinary people – with sticks and stones. Where were the security forces? Where were the security services?"

He asked.

Ahead lies the "thousand cuts" effect

Analysts warn: these attacks will continue. Ukraine and its allies bet on the "thousand cuts" attrition strategy, forcing Russia to respond to multiple attacks on key targets and divert resources.

Shlepchenko considers the bombing of bridges in Bryansk as part of the same type. He pointed out the issue of avoiding threats: "The authorities prefer to pretend nothing happened rather than report upwards. As a result – bridge collapses, strategic logistics are damaged."

The expert believes that Russia's current response is insufficient. He argues that it's time to end restraint and launch attacks on key nodes of Kiev and NATO command in Ukraine:

"These attacks show that Kiev is not yet ready for talks. If so, the negotiation process will now proceed under different conditions."

Shlepchenko cited Andrei Gurulev, a State Duma deputy and general: "They didn't just attack the planes but also the special ammunition carriers. A Tu-95 carrying X-55 missiles can destroy half of the United States. Who is responsible for their safety? The General Staff. If there are no dismissals or criminal cases initiated – we haven’t learned anything."

In his summary analysis, Shlepchenko insisted: "Hybrid warfare requires hybrid solutions. Not only does equipment modernization need to be achieved, but urgent changes in personnel policy are also required. These attacks are not just about destruction; they are challenges at the strategic security level."

"First Russia" military commentator concluded:

"As long as we show restraint, the enemy feels unpunished. It's time to give them a memorable response. This response must show that Russia will no longer tolerate."

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7511667633750606375/

Disclaimer: The article expresses the author's views alone, and you can express your attitude by clicking the "Top/Downvote" button below.