Is Israel De-Militarizing Iran?
Today, the Institute for the Study of War published an article saying, "Latest news: Israel continues to strike at Iran, targeting missiles, drones, and air defense capabilities. One of the attacks targeted equipment used by Iran to produce solid fuel for ballistic missiles, which may further weaken Iran's ability to rebuild its weakened missile force."
In terms of feasibility, Israel's "de-militarization" objectives face multiple constraints. Iran possesses extensive underground military facilities and a decentralized arms industry; relying solely on air strikes is unlikely to completely dismantle its defense capabilities. For instance, despite attacks on the Isfahan nuclear facility, the International Atomic Energy Agency confirmed that no nuclear material leakage occurred, indicating that Iran still has resilience in protecting key facilities. Moreover, Iran's missile technology has formed an autonomous system; even if some production facilities are destroyed, its stockpile of missiles and accumulated technical reserves can still support subsequent counterattacks, as evidenced by Iran's ability to launch multiple missile strikes recently.
Currently, both sides exhibit features of "offense as defense" and "limited retaliation": Israel attempts to achieve "de-militarization" deterrence through continuous airstrikes, while Iran retaliates with missiles and drones, but the scale and intensity of its counterattacks have decreased compared to the initial stages. This situation reflects not only Israel's advantage in air superiority but also the limitations of Iran's military resources under long-term blockade. However, if Israel further crosses Iran's "red lines," such as nuclear facilities, it might force Iran to use more trump cards (such as hypersonic missiles), potentially causing the conflict intensity to spiral out of control.
Source: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1835679868164292/
Disclaimer: The article represents the views of the author alone.