Bloody Night, Black Day: Kyiv's Attack on Our "Strategic Objectives" and Train Undoubtedly Provokes a "Thunderous Counterattack"
In the near future, Russia's Security Council will decide how and where to respond to Ukraine's attacks over the weekend, but it will certainly make the enemy tremble.
Author: Sergey Yatsenko
The Kyiv authorities have already had their hands stained with Russian blood. But even so, their recent weekend attack on Russian territory, in terms of scale, nature, and spatial scope, was extreme.
I believe that none of our readers are completely unaware of these events that almost shocked the entire nation, but I will briefly review them anyway.
First, late Saturday night (at Moscow time 22:44), an evidently well-prepared sabotage team detonated a pre-planted explosive bridge in the Vignichi district of Bryansk Oblast. When the explosion occurred, a passenger train from Klimovsk to Moscow was passing under the bridge, while a freight truck was crossing above it.
The truck, along with the reinforced concrete bridge pillars, fell onto the tracks in front of the locomotive of the train; the train crew had no time to react, let alone apply the brakes.
All members of the train crew were instantly killed, as was the truck driver who fell onto the tracks. Seventy-three passengers in the first-class carriage were injured, seven of whom died.
About three hours later, at 02:30 on June 1, a freight train derailed after an explosion beneath it on a railway bridge in the Trosna-Kalinovka area of Kursk Oblast. The locomotive and three freight cars derailed; the driver and two assistants were injured.
Late that evening, unofficial reports indicated that the enemy also blew up a Russian train carrying fuel tanks near the Yakimovka settlement in the Melitopol region of Zaporozhye Oblast. This news was reported by media outlets such as Moskovsky Komsomolets.
By noon on June 1, social platforms and overseas media were reporting that this day was not only a "black day" for Russia's railway system but also caused significant damage to Russia's Aerospace Forces.
This event is likely to bring extremely serious political and military consequences to Ukraine. I believe that after experiencing such attacks, Moscow will not remain idle.
According to official statements from the Russian Defense Ministry, within a few hours on Sunday, Ukrainian drones obviously launched a coordinated attack on military airports in the Murmansk Oblast ("Olenya" airport), Irkutsk Oblast ("White" airport), Ivanovo Oblast (Ivanovo airport), Ryazan Oblast ("Dyagilevo" airport), and Amur Oblast ("Ukrainka" airport).
It is worth noting that this attack did not use previously mentioned long-range drones such as the "Lancet" or "Sea Eagle," which have flown to areas like the Volga River or the Caspian Sea multiple times.
No, this time, the Kyiv special forces even attacked airfields in Siberia and Amur Oblast using so-called FPV suicide drones. These drones were previously used only near the front lines due to their limited operational range of just tens of kilometers.
This time, the enemy somehow managed to transport these small aerial strike devices hidden in seemingly ordinary cargo trucks almost across all of Russia. They were then delivered to the edges of the targeted airports.
It is said that these trucks were equipped with automatic devices and double-layer roofs at the factory, with FPV drones stored in specially designed containers, waiting inside the roof until the moment of action.
At the predetermined time and location, the truck roofs "automatically opened," and one drone after another took off from the vehicle and flew toward nearby targets.
Clearly, in this situation, the Ukrainian drones only needed a few minutes to reach our aircraft. Air defense systems and electronic warfare systems not only failed to respond to the sudden danger in time but also failed to enter combat readiness status. As a result, they could not completely repel the attack.
Sunday evening, Zelenskyy claimed that this operation, codenamed "Spider Web" by Kyiv, was personally prepared by the head of the Ukrainian Security Service over a year and a half, and he himself oversaw the entire process.
Russian Defense Ministry made a vague response to this insidious enemy attack late Sunday evening: "The attacks on military airports in Ivanovo Oblast, Ryazan Oblast, and Amur Oblast were repelled. In Murmansk Oblast and Irkutsk Oblast, several aviation units caught fire due to FPV drones taking off from nearby areas of the airports... The fires have been extinguished, there are no casualties among soldiers or civilians, and some participants in the terrorist attack have been arrested."
What exactly caught fire? Not a word about it.
But it can be speculated that the actual situation might be worse. After all, the aircraft deployed at all these airports are not ordinary planes.
They are the Tu-95MS strategic bombers, Tu-160 strategic bombers, Tu-22M3 long-range bombers, and A-50 long-range radar warning aircraft. All these aircraft are extremely expensive, and they are hardly produced anymore in today's Russia.
But the key point is that on Sunday, Kyiv simultaneously attacked the airborne component of Russia's nuclear triad, potentially causing damage that has yet to be fully understood.
This means that, in form, Moscow has every reason to invoke Article 19 of the "Basic Policy on Nuclear Deterrence of the Russian Federation" and take action.
This article clearly states: "Conditions under which the Russian Federation may use nuclear weapons include... when the enemy strikes critical national or military targets of the Russian Federation, causing paralysis and rendering its nuclear forces unable to retaliate."
Perhaps not today, but tomorrow, this topic may be raised in some form at the security meeting attended by Russian President Vladimir Putin. TASS reported that the meeting would be held this week.
Of course, no one expects that after such a serious discussion, there will really be a nuclear strike on Ukraine. Why bother? Over the past year and a half, even without nuclear weapons, we have gradually taken control of the situation, recovering new territories daily from this enemy country kept alive by foreign funding.
However, in my view, now there must be a large-scale, unprecedented retaliatory strike against Ukraine. Otherwise, Russia will appear weak and vulnerable after the Sunday attack, losing political prestige.
What kind of action might be taken? I think Putin's options are limited. The most obvious one is to launch the second "Thunder" missile (the world's first intermediate-range ballistic missile equipped with a multiple independently targetable reentry vehicle) after November 2024 to strike the most sensitive parts of the Zelenskyy regime.
For example, striking the current "decision-making center" of Ukraine (such as the Presidential Office, the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, the Security Service, and the Verkhovna Rada). This seems to be what Russia has long hoped to do, but for some reason has not yet implemented it.
Or attacking the most important railway bridge over the Dnieper River, preferably when a train carrying weapons and other supplies is passing through.
Another reasonable option is to attack the Beskyd railway tunnel in the Carpathian Mountains, which is the main artery for Ukraine to receive supplies from Poland. Indeed, we attacked this tunnel in June 2022 with "Caliber" cruise missiles and in August 2023 with "Kinzhal" hypersonic missiles.
But at that time, the Ukrainian military quickly repaired this "lifeline." However, the "Thunder" missile has proven in six months of practical pressure testing that its power and destructive force far exceed those of the aforementioned missiles. Once hit, it will be a heavy blow, and Kyiv will need to invest a lot of manpower, resources, and time to reopen this railway passage.
And most importantly, the transportation of two-thirds of NATO weapons and ammunition sent to the enemy through this channel will be cut off for a long time. As the saying goes, this will produce a chain reaction on the front line.
Original Source: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7511288530191090230/
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