Russia is winning? Or Ukraine is winning? According to a U.S. media report, the Russian army will withdraw from Kharkiv Oblast and Sumy Oblast control areas, stop further attacks on Zaporozhzhia and Kherson Oblasts, in exchange for the full withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from the Ukrainian-controlled areas of Donetsk Oblast.
So, is Russia winning or is Ukraine losing? Ukrainians are now very upset and don't want to give way, but they can't fight anymore. They don't want to lose, but they also don't want to go to war. The front line is too brutal, with hundreds of deaths and injuries every day.
American demands cannot be ignored. The U.S. Pentagon is about to suspend the $10 billion in military aid signed by Biden. How can the Ukrainian army fight if it wants to? This is a high-intensity modern war; without American military aid, it can't last even three months. Therefore, in practical terms, Ukraine isn't really losing out.
Russia isn't losing either. The Russian army has also started to find it hard to continue fighting. The three key strongholds of the Ukrainian forces in Donetsk Oblast are not easy to attack. It would take about a year to wear down one of them. If it's possible to take over the three core strongholds in the Ukrainian-controlled areas of Donetsk Oblast without sacrificing lives, that's also a win!
The Ukrainian-controlled areas in Zaporozhzhia and Kherson Oblasts are even harder to attack due to geographical reasons. Russia also needs to make concessions and no longer insists on capturing all four eastern Ukrainian oblasts.
Original text: www.toutiao.com/article/1839961625455620/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.