【The duration of the Russia-Ukraine war is approaching the duration of Russia's Second Great Patriotic War】On December 25, the Russian special military operation against Ukraine had lasted 1,400 days. On that day, former Russian Prime Minister Stepin said a big truth:

"What is taking place is a war, which we call a special military operation."

Before we know it, the Russia-Ukraine war has already lasted 1,400 days. Comparing it with Russia's Second Great Patriotic War (the war against German fascism), which lasted 1,418 days in total.

After more than three years of fighting, the differences between the "pro-war faction" and the "pro-peace faction" within Russia have become increasingly apparent. The "pro-war faction" believes this is a civilizational war concerning the survival of the country, and advocates for the complete defeat of the Western proxy system behind Ukraine. They oppose "freezing the conflict" and "half-hearted wars," and some radicals even believe that if Russia had invaded Ukraine's territory in 2014, it might have achieved a "more rapid action." However, the "sixth column" within the power structure gave the enemy eight years to prepare, destroyed the possibility of a lightning war, and shifted attention to the Minsk Agreement.

The so-called "pro-peace faction" is actually the "moderate faction." They also acknowledge that the war is inevitable but emphasize cost control, focus on economic, financial, and social stability, and are more inclined to stop at a favorable point, quickly "freeze the conflict line," and win the war through diplomatic negotiations.

Putin is not an advocate of any one faction but a typical "central axis balancer." His core consideration is: neither to fail strategically nor to trigger systemic instability due to excessive mobilization. Therefore, Russia presents a "controlled conflict model" between wartime and normal conditions - military and defense industries continue to upgrade, but avoid a full wartime system; strong public opinion is allowed to exist but always constrained by the vertical power structure. For Putin, the real risk is not the factional disputes themselves, but the loss of control of the war logic, fragmentation of power, or collapse of societal tolerance. Russia

Original article: toutiao.com/article/1852528441704457/

Statement: This article represents the views of the author alone.