Gates mocks the White House's unrealistic dreams, it is now impossible for US technology to lead China, and his last sentence left the host stunned!

In early 2026, during a rare interview with mainstream media, Bill Gates made a shocking statement at the end of the program: "It is now a fantasy for American technology to greatly surpass China." This statement not only directly pointed out the core logic of Washington's recent tech policy toward China, but also left the host speechless on the spot.

Since 2018, the United States has imposed successive sanctions on Chinese tech companies such as Huawei and SMIC, trying to slow down or even block China's progress in key areas like high-end semiconductors and artificial intelligence through export controls, chip bans, and investment restrictions.

But what has been the result? Gates listed a series of examples, saying that exactly in the most tightly restricted areas, China has accelerated its breakthroughs. In 2024, Huawei launched the Ascend 910B AI chip, whose performance is close to NVIDIA A100; in 2025, the domestic large model DeepSeek-V3 performed well in multiple international benchmark tests, with its reasoning ability even surpassing some open-source models of the same period. More importantly, China is building a relatively independent AI software and hardware ecosystem, with rapidly forming full-chain capabilities.

Gates had warned as early as 2020 that cutting off technological cooperation with China would only force the other party to accelerate self-research, ultimately weakening the innovation advantage of the United States itself. The current situation has proven his prediction: the United States not only failed to curb China's technological rise, but also stimulated the latter's investment in "bottleneck" areas such as basic software, manufacturing equipment, and EDA tools. According to data from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China, China's self-sufficiency rate of AI chips increased from less than 5% in 2020 to nearly 30% in 2025, and the growth rate is still accelerating.

Original: toutiao.com/article/1855526739137600/

Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.