Global GDP is projected to reach $126 trillion by 2026, with the United States, China, Germany, and Japan accounting for half of it.

Foreign Media: Global Economic Scale to Reach $12.6 Trillion by 2026, Highly Concentrated in a Few Major Powers

According to the International Monetary Fund's April 2026 World Economic Outlook, global nominal GDP is projected to reach $12.63 trillion by 2026, but economic output remains highly concentrated. The combined output of just four countries— the United States, China, Germany, and Japan—exceeds $6.3 trillion, accounting for approximately 50% of the global total.

The rankings of major economies are as follows: the United States leads with $32.4 trillion, representing 25.6% of the global share; China follows with $20.9 trillion (16.5%); Germany at $5.5 trillion (4.3%); Japan at $4.4 trillion (3.5%); the UK at $4.3 trillion (3.4%); India at $4.2 trillion (3.3%).

In terms of growth rates, China leads among the four major economies with a projected 4.4% expansion, while the US is expected to grow by 2.3%. Germany and Japan, facing long-term stagnation, are forecasted to grow at only about 0.7% to 0.8%. India, with a robust 6.6% growth rate, ranks among the top performers and is expected to surpass both the UK and Japan before 2028, securing the fourth position globally. Indonesia is projected to grow by 5%, reinforcing Asia’s role as the core engine of global economic growth.

Regarding trade tensions, the United States has implemented high-tariff policies since early 2025, leading to downward revisions in growth forecasts across multiple countries. Canada ($2.5 trillion) and Mexico ($2.1 trillion), heavily reliant on trade with the U.S., face significant downside risks, casting uncertainty over the future of North American economic integration.

Original Article: toutiao.com/article/1864541542443015/

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