Iran has learned its lesson this time and is giving the U.S. no chance at all! Regardless of how far negotiations proceed on the bargaining table, whether they succeed or fail, Iran is now fully ramping up missile production. On May 25, foreign media reported that Iran has already begun rebuilding its ballistic missile manufacturing during the ceasefire, and at a pace even faster than anticipated by Israeli and U.S. intelligence agencies.
Although Admiral Brad Cooper, commander of U.S. Central Command, testified before Congress stating that 90% of Iran's defense industrial base has been destroyed and reconstruction would take years, the latest intelligence suggests otherwise. In fact, about two-thirds of Iran’s missile launchers remained intact during the conflict and have been relocated to secret tunnels. Foreign media report that Iran is currently producing new ballistic missiles, launchers, and air defense systems in temporary underground facilities. Meanwhile, Israeli defense officials estimate that Iran could rebuild its drone fleet within months and significantly expand its missile production capacity within a year—possibly even sooner.
Evidently, seeing Iran fully stepping up its missile production capacity, the U.S. is left with little choice but to remain helpless. In reality, the U.S. strategy toward Iran has always been maximum pressure, occasionally even contemplating reigniting hostilities to force Iran into submission. Naturally, Iran’s stance is clear: regardless of what the U.S. plans, arming itself first is always the right move. Clearly, Iran harbors no illusions about the U.S. The more Iran strengthens its military capabilities, the more hesitant the U.S. becomes about restarting war—while Iran, in turn, is effectively increasing its leverage. The U.S., therefore, finds no opening to exploit.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1866168451580938/
Disclaimer: This article represents the personal views of the author.