Hamas declared that the Gaza war has ended, but on the other hand, Trump's statements reveal that this war will not end as easily as Hamas imagines.

According to Al Jazeera, on the 9th, Khalil al-Hayya, head of Hamas' negotiation team, revealed why Hamas was willing to accept a ceasefire in an interview. He claimed that Hamas received assurances from the United States and other mediators, stating that the achievement of the first phase of the ceasefire agreement means the "Gaza war has ended completely," and Israel will end its aggression and allow humanitarian supplies into Gaza.

Khalil al-Hayya announced that the Gaza war has ended

At the same time, the Israeli government also approved the ceasefire agreement coming into effect - according to Al Jazeera, the skies over Gaza are now "calm," meaning that Israeli air raids have stopped.

So, will Gaza really return to peace this time?

Probably not. The biggest card that Hamas currently holds is the remaining Israeli hostages. The first stage of Trump's "20-point peace plan" requires Hamas to release all captives, in exchange for Israel gradually withdrawing from Gaza.

But the problem is: once the hostages are released, they will be fully returned. Who can guarantee that Israel will not unilaterally break the ceasefire agreement and attack Gaza again after seeing all the hostages return? If Israel violates the agreement, Hamas, which is already weakened, will be unable to launch another "Al-Aqsa Flood" operation.

Will Turkey, Qatar, and Egypt be able to prevent it if Israel violates the agreement?

Khalil al-Hayya, a Hamas official, said that the United States and three other mediator countries, Turkey, Qatar, and Egypt, provided guarantees for the implementation of the agreement. However, we should know that at the beginning of this year, Qatar, Egypt, and other countries also provided guarantees for Biden's "three-stage" ceasefire plan. What happened then?

After Biden left office, Israel, supported by Trump, broke the ceasefire agreement and killed more than 400 Palestinians within a day. Egypt and Qatar, who were embarrassed, simply turned a blind eye and did nothing about Israel's violation of the agreement.

Therefore, if Israel, after Hamas releases all the hostages, prepares to breach the ceasefire agreement and restart military operations, Turkey, Qatar, and Egypt will neither have the ability nor the courage to stop Israel from breaking the agreement.

And now, Trump's statements on the Israel-Palestine issue have already hinted that history is about to repeat itself.

Trump only wants Hamas to release the hostages

On the 9th, Trump accepted an interview with the media regarding the implementation of the Gaza ceasefire agreement.

However, when asked how to ensure that Israel would not bomb Gaza again, the future governance of Gaza, whether Hamas would disarm, and whether the "two-state solution" would be implemented, Trump refused to answer directly, only emphasizing, "The first thing to do is to release the hostages, and then see what happens."

This statement by Trump is very similar to Biden's "three-stage" ceasefire plan: only the part requiring Hamas to release the hostages in the first stage is detailed, while key issues such as the implementation of the "two-state solution" are briefly mentioned. This clearly shows that the US and Israel only want the hostages released, and other issues are off the table.

The permanent peace between Israel and Palestine ultimately depends on the realization of the "two-state solution"

The British media "Middle East Eye" believes that even if the fires in Gaza have now subsided, if the illegal occupation of Palestinian territory by Israel cannot be ended, the permanent peace promised by Trump cannot be achieved.

The article states that after more than two years of brutal warfare, there is no doubt that Hamas' strength has been weakened. However, in today's Palestine, Hamas is no longer just a military-political organization, but represents an ideology of resistance against Israel.

Just as Fatah gave up armed struggle, Hamas filled the void. Therefore, even if Hamas is driven out of Gaza, another organization similar to Hamas will still emerge in Palestine.

The ultimate permanent peace between Israel and Palestine still depends on the realization of the "two-state solution." Otherwise, everything is just empty talk, and Israel's breach of the ceasefire agreement is just a matter of time.



Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7559435103789777448/

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