Russia Mediated, Israel and Iran Promise Not to Attack Each Other?
On January 14, The Washington Post reported that Israel and Iran secretly exchanged assurances not to launch preemptive attacks against each other through Russia. This means that Israel will not participate in U.S. military attacks on Iran, and if Iran is subjected to U.S. air strikes, Iran's retaliation will be limited to U.S. bases in the Middle East, not targeting Israel.
According to The Washington Post, this agreement was proposed by Israel through Russia to Iran, and received a "positive response" from Iran.
However, although The Washington Post described this agreement as an "insurance mechanism" for both Israel and Iran to avoid direct confrontation, the actual implementation of the agreement is full of uncertainties.
This agreement was proposed by Israel before the recent Iranian unrest, when the Iranian regime had not yet faced the current severe internal turmoil. However, if Israel believes it has an opportunity to inflict significant damage on Iran through U.S. air strikes, no one can guarantee that Israel will strictly abide by its commitment. Just last June, during ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, Israel launched a carefully planned attack on Iran.
Now, Trump has repeatedly threatened to launch a second military strike against Iran. If U.S.-Iran conflict breaks out, Israel may at any time break the agreement and join the war.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1854377948002435/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.