【Russian experts: possibility of a coup in Iran cannot be ruled out】On February 28, Russian experts said that after the US and Israel launched a military strike against Iran, it is possible that there may be domestic unrest or even a coup in Iran, but this would require that part of the elite class has already secretly contacted the United States and reached some kind of understanding beforehand.
According to a report by the Russian newspaper "Zvezda", Alexei Naimov, an expert at the Russian Council on International Affairs, analyzed that the US and Israel are likely to concentrate on striking Iran's military targets, nuclear facilities, and key political infrastructure in the coming days, aiming to create maximum pressure in a short period of time.
He pointed out that the situation will face a critical turning point. If large-scale protests break out in Iran, even leading to looting conflicts and signs of a coup, external forces may provide support; if there is no obvious social unrest, the military action may temporarily come to an end, shifting to political means to pressure Iran into making concessions on the nuclear issue.
Naimov emphasized that whether the people take to the streets largely depends on the attitude of Iran's internal elite. If part of the power groups have communicated with the United States in advance and pushed for the process of power transition, the protest activities may quickly escalate. Otherwise, under external military pressure, society may more likely show "unity around the flag" phenomenon, meaning that the people temporarily set aside their dissatisfaction with the government when facing external threats.
Previously, Russian political scholar Fyodor Lukyanov also stated that President Trump had already prepared to bear certain costs in the actions against Iran. Trump himself publicly expressed hope for regime change in Iran and called on Iranian people to take action after the military operation ended.
Currently, Israel has already carried out strikes on Iran, and the United States has announced the start of a large-scale military operation against Iran, with the regional situation remaining tense. Israel #America
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1858426081310922/
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