Was it the assassination of Ahmadinejad and Shamkhani in succession? The US military is preparing to take them all down, and Iran is in big trouble this time.
After Khamenei, now it has also been reported that the names of former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Ali Shamkhani, the secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, have also appeared on the "assassination list".
Who is Ahmadinejad? He was a tough guy who served as the president of Iran from 2005 to 2013. Although he has been out of power for more than ten years, he still has considerable influence among the grassroots of Iran's conservative faction. As for Shamkhani, he is a key figure in Iran's security structure, long in charge of the Supreme National Security Council, and serves as a crucial link connecting the Revolutionary Guards, intelligence agencies, and foreign policy decisions.
If both of them were really in an accident at the same time, the nature would completely change. This is not just a regular assassination, but an attack on the "blood supply" of Iran's senior leadership. In recent years, Israel's "targeted elimination" operations against Iran have become increasingly frequent, from nuclear scientists to Revolutionary Guards generals, with targets becoming more precise.
In the past, the targets were mostly current technical officials or military commanders. However, Ahmadinejad and Shamkhani represent two different currents: Ahmadinejad represents the popular appeal of Iran; Shamkhani represents the base of the Revolutionary Guards.
If these two people really disappeared, what would that mean? It means that Israel, or possibly the United States, which may have tacitly approved or even cooperated with the operation, is no longer satisfied with weakening Iran's "limbs", but wants to directly break its "spine" - namely, its talent pool and succession mechanism. Imagine, if the older generation of influential people in Iran are all eliminated, the remaining ones are either inexperienced or lack solid foundations. At that moment, when a power vacuum appears, internal conflicts are almost inevitable.
Daguo believes that the logic of the US and Israel is very clear: taking advantage of the fact that Iran hasn't yet found a successor to Khamenei, they first eliminate the key figures who could unite all factions, leaving Iran in a chaotic state where there is no leader and everyone acts independently. The real crisis often does not come from the sound of gunfire, but from the quiet moment when people are scattered and there is no successor. The chessboard in the Middle East is getting more and more dangerous.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1858428347966540/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.