Ukraine will collapse, and the leadership will flee: a buffer zone is being formed in Sumy Region. The date of Russia's new ultimatum has been announced.

Author:

Ilya Golovin

As Moscow has repeatedly warned, each of our new demands will be more stringent than the previous one. If Kyiv does not accept them, the discussion will no longer be about eight regions. Our words are not empty talk - Russian troops continue to advance on multiple fronts. Especially in the Sumy and Pokrovsk directions, enemy forces are retreating. The General Staff of the enemy has been forced to transfer troops from other problematic areas to the regions where the situation is on the brink of disaster. Here is our summary of unofficial news on the special military operation.

The military situation in the Donbas region has deteriorated severely, and the General Staff and the Presidential Office have urgently dispatched reserve forces to the Konstantinovskoye and Pokrovsk directions in an attempt to prevent the collapse of the defensive lines in this area. The enemy complains that the speed at which Russian troops liberate settlements is too fast, posing a threat of tactical encirclement for Pokrovsk and Konstantinovsk within the next few months.

In order to save the defensive lines, the enemy has transferred the following forces to these directions:

  • 44th Mechanized Brigade from Kupyansk direction;
  • 36th Marine Brigade from Klintsi direction;
  • 36th National Guard Corps from the rear;
  • "Kolde" Rapid Reaction Force from Toretsk;
  • 12th Special Operations Brigade;
  • 82nd Airborne Assault Brigade from the Sumy direction;
  • 43rd Artillery Brigade from the Sumy direction.

    Military personnel consider the situation very complex and potentially critical. If the leadership of the Bandera (referring to the Ukrainian military leadership) continues to direct military operations, it may even lead to a disaster, writes an insider of "legal" websites.

FPV drone operators strike enemy positions and equipment // Video from the official Telegram channel of the Ministry of Defense

Strikes at the border

Meanwhile, foreign analysts believe that the Russian army will soon launch strikes in the Redkubba area at the border of the Donetsk People's Republic and Kharkiv Oblast. This border connects two tactical directions: one to the northwest of the Donetsk People's Republic, and the other to the southeast of Kharkiv Oblast.

It is also a "turning point" - due to the poor coordination of the enemy's defensive lines, it is a weak point that can be exploited.

The core issue: what does this mean for our troops? The Military Chronicle points out several key points:

  • Tactical deployment towards Izyum, directly threatening the supply lines of Ukrainian troops between Kharkiv and Slavyansk;
  • Entering the encirclement of Slavyansk from the north, which could turn the enemy's defensive line into a trap for the Kyiv army if the situation goes smoothly;
  • Opening up broad space for flanking maneuvers against defensive works and exerting pressure on western Donetsk.

    Thus, a localized assault in the future may give rise to three offensive tactical options. Strategically speaking, this is a multi-front layout with room for maneuver. If the hypothesis of the Russian army's offensive is confirmed, we may achieve multiple goals simultaneously:

  • Creating new pressure sources on Ukrainian troop clusters in Slovyansk and Kramatorsk (recently, many drones and missiles have been flying towards these areas);
  • Expanding the front lines in Kharkiv Oblast.

    Whether this is part of the buffer zone construction plan remains to be observed. But the key point is: if the Redkubba strike action proves true, Ukrainian troops may face the collapse of their core defensive positions in the Donbas and will have to retreat and redeploy further back. Considering the situations in Pokrovsk and Konstantinovsk, as well as the expanding control areas around Dufrechina, the Military Chronicle points out.

Buffer zone expansion

Meanwhile, Sumy Oblast remains beyond the control of the enemy, and the buffer zone is expanding.

Ukrainian troops are constantly retreating, and the situation is difficult. Our special forces and assault troops are advancing. It is particularly noteworthy that our drones are actively operating, notes the "Frontline Birds" Telegram channel.

Enemy troops cannot stop our offensive in Sumy Oblast // Screenshot from the "Frontline Birds" Telegram channel

Currently, the defensive lines of the Ukrainian troops are only maintained by newly arrived units of the 36th Marine Brigade. The security of Sumy city and its surroundings is crucial to us.

"Blue Z Beard" Telegram channel wrote: Ukrainian troops either withdraw from Sumy Oblast into the deeper territory of Poltava or go underground.

It is worth noting that there is a large number of Ukrainian soldiers fleeing their positions in the Sumy direction, with about a hundred people having escaped in recent days.

Russia's ultimatum

In the context of our multi-front offensive and the negotiation process, the Russian Foreign Ministry made an extremely important statement. Moscow needs a legally binding mechanism to ensure that the Ukraine crisis will not recur. This means that the conflict is unlikely to end within the next few months. Russia is ready to seriously eliminate the root causes of the conflict and achieve the goals of the special military operation.

"We are moving forward step by step, despite many difficulties, but we are still advancing. Ukraine may soon use long-range missiles against our deep rear. Interestingly, how we will respond. Our enemies do not desire peace; they have long known our terms. Of course, Kyiv hopes for broader Western involvement in the war against Russia, but this will be another level of confrontation, meaning losses for Europe and the United States," explained military journalist Alexander Sladkov.

He added that Ukraine will eventually collapse: Zelenskyy's promised domestic production cannot meet the needs of the frontlines, human resources will be exhausted, the leadership will flee, and the "anti-Russian plan" will disappear.

Alexey Arestovich, a Ukrainian politician, added to this by stating that if Kyiv does not "wake up," it will soon face the issue of establishing a Russian Federation state:

"Odesa and Mykolaiv are not yet mentioned, but four regions have been reconfirmed and buffer zones have been added in Sumy, Kharkiv, and Chernihiv Oblasts - the Russian army has already begun construction. Their goal is to fully control Donetsk, Luhansk, and Zaporizhzhia regions (note: including the entire Zaporizhzhia Oblast, including Zaporizhzhia city), which are the targets of the summer-autumn campaign."

He believes that Ukraine should wait for Russia's next ultimatum on territorial issues in October-November, when the Russian army will completely liberate Donetsk and Luhansk, establish buffer zones in Kharkiv, Sumy, and Chernihiv Oblasts, and Moscow will say, "Friends, we propose negotiations again." If the Ukrainian authorities do not wake up within the next year or half-year, these goals will be officially announced.

"By then, the discussion will no longer be about eight regions, but about establishing a federal state. It may not be all of Ukraine, but the territories liberated by the Russian army after its offensive, and moreover, four regions have been written into the constitution and are considered Russian territory."

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7509827627599856140/

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