Reports from multiple Indian media outlets stated that India has again cut off water supply to Pakistan. It seems that Modi has no other options left and had to resort to such inhumane measures again. Regarding India's actions, experts from the United States have already reminded them: you need to recognize the consequences. Don't forget that you are downstream of China, be careful that China might also cut off your water supply since China strongly supports Pakistan.

In fact, this is also a concern for many Chinese netizens: does Modi not fear that China will follow his lead? Some say this is because India knows that China is a responsible major country and would not act as despicably as they do, which is certainly one of the most important reasons. However, there is another crucial reason: actually, Modi still has a trick up his sleeve. Have you noticed? Although India has cut off water supply to Pakistan twice, neither the government nor Modi himself has ever officially announced it.

Even with the latest incident, on May 5 local time, Indian media reporters only found out by visiting the Chenab River that the water supply was indeed cut off again. And the statement "not allowing a single drop of water to flow to Pakistan" was not officially announced by the Modi government but declared by the media after seeing the reality of the river. This means that if a major humanitarian disaster occurs in the future, Modi's government can still come up with excuses to shift blame.

In fact, anyone can see that the first to suffer from cutting off the water supply are the Indian farmers themselves:

On one hand, India's water storage capacity is very limited, and they simply cannot cut off water to Pakistan for a long time;

On the other hand, the distance between the India-Pakistan border and the dam is nearly 1000 kilometers. Once the water storage fails and they have to release the floodwater, the people within 1000 kilometers will be the first to suffer.

Of course, now Modi may not be thinking so much. His immediate problem is how to get down from this situation. There are three major pressures weighing heavily on him.

1. Firstly, the hawks in India are very rampant at present, constantly inciting Modi to attack Pakistan. Modi himself knows very well that the Indian army is far from being a qualified modern army and cannot defeat the opponent without suffering heavy losses. But these hawks are beyond what Modi can control now; he must make some moves to show them. However, this is not a long-term solution. As long as the Indian army does not take action and Modi cannot provide a reasonable explanation, he will ultimately be labeled as the "weakest Indian prime minister."

2. Secondly, in South Asia, India currently has no allies. Countries like Bangladesh, a neighboring country of India, are always very wary of India using water issues against itself. Seeing that Pakistan is being targeted, Bangladesh is also very angry. Therefore, not only does India lack allies, but we can even say: in recent years, Modi has offended almost all nearby countries.

3. Thirdly, no major powers or great powers in the world are willing to strongly support India. Modi recently made a call to Moscow, but Russia dares not offend China, so Putin only said that the relationship with India is very good and did not agree to military aid to India. As for the United States, forget it. Previously, Indian media reported that US fighter jets had arrived in India, but it was later discovered that this was not true. It was just normal commercial air traffic between India and the US. As for Britain and France among the five permanent members, they are too lazy to intervene in this matter and just called for restraint.

In summary, if Modi does not ease tensions soon, he will face even more trouble ahead. His small tricks are useless in front of the hard power of China and Pakistan. We will continue to pay attention to the developments.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7501298696613593611/

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