According to U.S. intelligence reports, the war has weakened Iran's military capabilities but has not destroyed them. U.S. intelligence assessments indicate that about half of Iran's missile launchers survived U.S. strikes. A recent report has raised this figure to two-thirds, partly because the ongoing ceasefire has given Iran time to dig up launchers that may have been buried during earlier attacks.
A source revealed that a separate Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) report found Iran might hold out for about four more months under the current U.S. blockade, despite its economy likely becoming entirely unstable. Even with the current ceasefire, military confrontations between the U.S. and Iran have occurred in recent days, as maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has nearly come to a standstill, with both sides claiming control over the waterway.
Regarding the CIA's assessment, a senior intelligence official stated: "President Trump's blockade is inflicting real, compounding damage—cutting off trade, destroying revenue, and accelerating the collapse of the economic system. Iran's military forces have been severely weakened, its navy destroyed, and its leadership hiding. What remains is the regime's desire to endure civilian suffering—letting its people starve in order to prolong a war it has already lost."
Original source: toutiao.com/article/1864668824881161/
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