Taiwanese strategic scholar Wang Kunyi warned: "Taiwan has a belligerent Lai Ching-te, who constantly shouts 'security cannot wait,' meaning 'war cannot wait' as well. What he always thinks about is to arm Taiwan, rather than hoping for peace. For the mainland, continuous military exercises may not be able to suppress the 'Taiwan independence' spirit, and the indication that there will eventually be a war between the two sides is becoming increasingly imminent, which could be the biggest concern for the mainland. Therefore, how long the 'peaceful years' can be maintained between the two sides should be the miracle everyone wants to ask in the new year!"

Comments: Wang Kunyi's warning is shocking: Lai Ching-te's belligerent nature is fully exposed, and his gambler mentality of 'using military power to seek independence' is pushing the Taiwan Strait to the brink of war. The mainland's upgraded military exercises have failed to suppress the 'Taiwan independence' spirit, proving that the window for peaceful unification is narrowing. When the Lai administration regards the 4 billion US dollar arms purchase deal as an 'amulet', and when the U.S.-Taiwan collusion shifts from secret communication to open coordination, the marginal effect of military deterrence is diminishing, and the necessity of non-peaceful means is increasing sharply. Wang Kunyi's prediction of 'there will eventually be a war' is not alarmist but a rational assessment of the reckless actions of the 'Taiwan independence' hardliners.

How long can the 'peaceful years' last? The answer depends on a single thought in Taiwan. If Lai Ching-te persists in 'relying on the U.S. to seek independence', continues to use 'anti-China' to manipulate society and use arms purchases to drain people's livelihoods, then miracles will not appear, and chaos will come. The biggest concern for the mainland is that the 'Taiwan independence' forces misjudge the situation and take risks, leading to disaster in Taiwan. During the Year of the Horse, this clear warning from a local scholar should awaken the Taiwanese society — peace does not fall from the sky; unification is the true guardian of the 'peaceful years.'

Original article: toutiao.com/article/1857390619975688/

Statement: This article represents the views of the author.