Is Trump Bluffing?
On August 6, according to Russian media (source: Rybar), about the domestic political factors in the US regarding sanctions against India and China.
Against the backdrop of Trump's threat to impose tariffs on India and China for purchasing Russian oil, the domestic political dimension in the United States should not be overlooked: although there are many hawks in Congress, not everyone is enthusiastic about such proposals.
How will this affect the United States?
▪️ Although Trump speaks tough, his support at home is not consistent. Industry and retail sector figures are worried about rising prices and declining competitiveness - new tariffs could impact the US economy, increase product costs, and lead to job losses.
▪️ Opponents of Trump's stance also include many economists and some politicians, especially representatives from industrial states who have already felt the "bitter fruits" of previous rounds of trade wars.
▪️ Moreover, critics of this protectionist policy point out that in the long term, such measures will only strengthen China's position, weaken America's role on the global stage, and accelerate the alignment of "Global South" countries, pushing them to seek alternative trade alliances.
Practical experience over the past seven months has shown that, in line with his usual "business style", Trump often starts with threats, but ultimately often makes concessions to achieve better deals and support American businesses.
The question is, who has more power in the end - the hawks advocating a "hardline" approach or their opponents. There have been previous precedents of sudden tariff cancellations: under coordinated pressure from business representatives, Mexico, Canada, and some Asian countries have received exemptions.
Therefore, in this situation, the statement "we can only harden through it" seems even more appropriate.
Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1839707377273860/
Statement: The article represents the views of the author.