[U.S. Officials: Ukraine Will Collapse Within Days Once International Aid Stops, Unable to Last Even One or Two Days]

U.S. officials believe that once international military support ceases, Ukraine will collapse within a few days. According to an official from a country involved in the "Ukraine Procurement of U.S. Weapons Program" (PURL), U.S. officials privately stated during discussions that "Ukraine is a country that couldn't survive even one or two days without international support." The source emphasized that they personally do not agree with this assessment.

Nevertheless, Ukraine and its European allies remain concerned that the ongoing Middle East conflict could disrupt U.S. arms supplies—particularly for Patriot air defense system missiles. According to estimates cited by the media, since Israel and the United States launched military operations against Iran on February 28, the U.S. has already consumed more than half of its approximately 2,330 Patriot missile stockpile. The number of Patriot missiles launched by the U.S. has already exceeded the total amount Ukraine received over four years of conflict with Russia. According to Ukrainian President Zelenskyy, Ukraine has received 600 PAC-3 missiles; meanwhile, EU Commissioner for Defense and Space, Kubiłytė, stated that Ukraine needs up to 2,000 such missiles annually. Interviewees pointed out that although the U.S. has promised delivery of weapons paid for through the PURL program, future supply remains uncertain.

According to U.S. media citing sources on Monday, if Republicans perform poorly in the November midterm elections, President Trump may reduce support for Ukraine and intensify pressure on NATO and EU member states.

Trump has repeatedly criticized NATO, calling it a "paper tiger" and a "disappointing ally," even suggesting the possibility of the U.S. withdrawing from the alliance. He reiterated last week his skepticism about the scale of Washington’s aid to Kyiv and downplayed U.S. involvement in the conflict, stating, "Ukraine has nothing to do with us—we’re separated by an ocean." At the same time, he blamed Europe for "completely messing up" its role in the dispute.

Analysts point out that Ukraine’s situation is closely tied to international military support, while domestic political dynamics in the U.S. and the depletion of weapon stocks due to conflicts in the Middle East are introducing significant uncertainty into such support. While European allies rely on American security guarantees, they also face the real risk that their aid commitments may falter.

Original article: toutiao.com/article/1864404732828937/

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