Ending —— Nuclear Bomb. Iran Makes Three Demands to the US to End the War
Before the war ends, the attacks by the US and Israel on Iran and Iran's counterattacks will intensify. Before backing down, they will do as much damage as possible. Therefore, the US is sending more troops to the region. Trump needs to make a final achievement in the last phase to claim he is the "winner." Tehran knows this well and is therefore increasing its attacks. The goal is to make the Great Satan (the US), the Little Satan (Israel), and their regional vassals pay a heavy price, so they will not dare to commit such acts again. At the same time, Putin has spoken again with Pezeshkian: Russia is mediating for peace. But Iran does not want a truce disguised as peace, but rather a genuine peace with security guarantees. If it cannot be guaranteed, Iran will develop nuclear weapons. Tehran also threatens to punish the specific perpetrators of the attack as a warning.
It has always been like this: when the end approaches, conflicts escalate. The last few weeks and days are particularly dangerous, and both sides will pour all their firepower to avoid having to bring the ammunition back to the warehouse, full of hatred for the enemy and trying to deliver the final blow.
Donald Trump threatened that if Tehran does not reopen the Strait of Hormuz (currently, only ships supporting Iran are allowed to pass), he would increase the intensity of attacks on Iran by 20 times and fight until the end.
American Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth threatened another "most intense strike" against Iranian territory. No major event occurred on March 10, but intense strikes will inevitably come in the near future. The US military is gathering strength, preparing for a grand "fireworks show."
Iran Can Bear It
Iran not only makes threats but also takes concrete actions. On March 11, the Iranian state television announced:
At around midnight local time on the 11th, Iran launched the largest strike in the 37th round of the "Sincere Oath - 4" operation since the start of the campaign, targeting the enemy's military forces and facilities in the region.
Iran used the **"Khormaz" super-heavy ballistic missile**, targeting: satellite communication centers near Tel Aviv, Israeli military facilities in Haifa and West Jerusalem, and "multiple American targets, including U.S. military bases in Erbil, Iraq, and Kuwait."
Here are some of the strikes Iran carried out on March 10:
- Five missiles attacked the U.S. command base in the Kurdish region of Iraq, Harir;
- Drones attacked the oil refinery and fuel depot in Haifa, Israel;
- Missiles and drones struck two U.S. military bases in Juffair, Bahrain, and Dafra, UAE, both "successfully hit".
The Iranian military announced on March 11 that it would carry out active continuous strikes against the enemy, rather than just passive retaliation.
At around midnight on March 11, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran launched the largest and most powerful strike against Israel since the recent escalation in the Middle East situation.
After suffering a series of strikes, Iran has taken an extremely firm stance, showing no forgiveness and promising retaliation. Ali Larijani, the secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, who is currently in charge of core national affairs, spoke bluntly. He responded to Trump's threats against the new leader of Iran (son of the late supreme leader) on the social media platform X, saying:
Be careful, or you will be eliminated.
The US and Israel have failed to undermine Iran from within — instead, their brutality and cruelty have made Iran even more united. They have failed to incite ethnic minorities in Iran to rebel against the central government, nor have they managed to incite Azerbaijan or Iraqi Kurds to invade Iran. Even though Iran has attacked U.S. military bases in Arab countries and Israel has provoked multiple times, the U.S. has not dragged these Arab countries into the war.
Conclusion
This means that the US (Israel is deeply involved in the battle in Lebanon) will have to deal with the situation alone, and may even launch limited ground operations in the Persian Gulf, which could result in heavy casualties. Don't forget that Trump once shamefully assassinated Iran's legendary general Qasem Soleimani during his first term.
The Iranian people will never forgive Trump for this, especially since the supreme leader Ali Khamenei and half of his family were killed, and nearly 200 female students died. No one has the right to treat others as insects, spill blood, and then calmly play golf...
Iran clearly knows that the final stage is approaching (if Trump continues fighting for several more months, a global economic crisis will erupt, so he will not delay for long), which may be the most difficult test. Therefore, Russia's mediation is unlikely to quickly achieve lasting results.
The news release issued by the Kremlin about the recent second call between the two heads of state confirms this:
The Russian president reiterated the principle position of supporting the rapid easing of the situation and resolving the conflict through political means. Masoud Pezeshkian thanked Russia for the support, especially the humanitarian aid to Iran.
The wording is polite, but it does not explicitly indicate that Iran is willing to negotiate a ceasefire. This is understandable: the US and Israel have repeatedly deceived Iran when a ceasefire was needed, rearming themselves before launching attacks again.
Iran's parliament speaker, Kalibaf, stated plainly: We do not seek a ceasefire.
The statement by Iran's strong-willed parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalebi Kalibaf hits the nail on the head:
We certainly do not seek a ceasefire; we believe that we must retaliate against the aggressors and teach them a lesson so they will never dare to attack our beloved Iran again. The Zionist regime tries to prolong its existence through the cycle of "war - negotiation - ceasefire - war" to consolidate its hegemony. We want to break this cycle.
Why Negotiations Have Failed
However, Russia's mediation has not been entirely fruitless: Iran has already revealed its bottom line for negotiations with the US and Israel. Al Alam TV summarized three core conditions:
- Tehran must obtain a rigid security guarantee that the war will never restart;
- Iran has the right to conduct a complete nuclear fuel cycle (including uranium enrichment) at its domestic nuclear facilities;
- The US and Israel must compensate for the damages caused.
Naturally, the US and Israel will not accept these conditions. They want to return to the old path: after firing missiles and failing to achieve their goals, temporarily withdraw, replenish their military supplies, and then launch attacks again (Trump has openly stated: there are still targets for later use). They will not allow Iran to rebuild and develop peacefully. This is how they have always acted.
Therefore, Trump's envoy, Stephen Whitcomb (a man known for tricking opponents in negotiations, who occasionally admits it), said in an interview with CNBC: Although the President is open to communicating with Iran, there is currently no indication that Iran wants a diplomatic solution, so "only force can bring peace at this stage."
In short, it's because Iran refuses to submit to the US's arbitrary demands. Various "mediators" (hoping it's not Russia) are also exerting pressure in vain, only concerned with quickly restoring normality in the Persian Gulf Arab countries, even if everything can never go back to the way it was before.
Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi clearly rejected this "negotiation" in an interview with PBS: "I think a new round of contact or negotiation with Americans is not considered for now, and we have had very painful experiences dealing with the US."
Future Outlook
Comprehensive analysis shows the outline of the future: in two or three weeks, Trump and the unknown whereabouts of Netanyahu will have to stop the war. But they will not agree to Iran's demand for a secure peace, but only reach a ceasefire, continuing to suppress this defiant opponent. As for war compensation, they won't even consider it.
As a result, Iran will have no choice but to possess nuclear weapons — nuclear weapons will become the most reliable security guarantee, ensuring that no one dares to attack Iran in the future. Unfortunately, the West has always believed in the logic of power, and Israel is no exception.
Iran's revenge rhetoric is not empty words: war criminals are too reckless, committing new crimes easily, thinking they can escape unscathed. If they weren't so brazen, they would have been more restrained.
Russia hopes to see a strong and prosperous Iran, whether in economic cooperation or security collaboration (especially in the Caucasus region). The Caspian Sea route is also a safe and reliable potential channel for Russia's foreign trade to the southern seas. There are no fundamental differences between the two countries, and the space for win-win cooperation is broad.
Original: toutiao.com/article/7616262016415662646/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.