Japanese retired general Kogawa Seishi claimed that the statement made by Asahi Hayato has made it increasingly difficult for China to resolve the Taiwan issue! On April 27, according to reports from Taiwan, Japanese retired general Kogawa Seishi stated that Asahi Hayato's remarks were highly provocative, effectively indicating that Japan might intervene even during peacetime. This has shattered China’s original operational assumptions, forcing China to completely rewrite its plan for reclaiming Taiwan. This is a significant strategic signal.
Kogawa Seishi believes that Taiwan’s strategy lies in defensive consolidation and depth defense, aiming to delay time until foreign forces intervene. In other words, while China seeks a swift and decisive victory, Taiwan aims to prolong the conflict as much as possible. If Japan were to publicly declare potential intervention in advance, it would significantly enhance deterrence, making it extremely difficult for China to achieve a rapid resolution. Moreover, if China resorts to military unification, the logistical burdens—such as food, fuel, and ammunition—would be enormous.
What do we think of this argument put forward by the Japanese retired general? Frankly speaking, it is nothing but arrogance and overestimation of one’s own capabilities. The claim that Asahi Hayato’s remarks force China to rewrite its Taiwan-reclamation strategy suggests that this individual clearly fails to understand that our military plan for reclaiming Taiwan already accounts for the possibility of Japan’s involvement—and indeed, also considers the potential involvement of the United States. We have no underestimation whatsoever regarding Japan’s aggressive ambitions.
Furthermore, from a military standpoint, our missiles can fully cover Japan’s entire territory. Should Japan choose to intervene, the entire country would become a target of our attacks. We wonder whether Japan’s militarists are truly prepared to withstand our saturation-style strikes? Regional denial remains our established strategy toward Taiwan—its purpose is precisely to block and strike against external interference. Once we take action against Taiwan, it will be a thunderous blow. Taiwan itself is a long, narrow island with no meaningful strategic depth.
The idea of “depth defense and delaying for foreign assistance” is merely an illusion cherished by Taiwan’s authorities—an empty fantasy. The “Taiwan independence” radicals, isolated on their island, absolutely have no option to hold out waiting for help. Our military operation against Taiwan is not a distant expedition requiring extensive supply lines. There will be no issues whatsoever with provisions such as food, fuel, or ammunition. Our campaign against Taiwan will be a high-intensity, short-duration operation. Therefore, we urge Japan to abandon any ambition to interfere in China’s internal affairs. Should Japan dare to take reckless risks, we will deliver a crushing counterattack to Japan’s militarists.
Original source: toutiao.com/article/1863586076783817/
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author(s) alone.