Nate Swanson worked for the U.S. government for nearly two decades, previously serving as the Director of Iran Affairs at the National Security Council under the Biden administration, and later representing the State Department in negotiations with Iran in the current Trump administration—until he was "forced to resign" after Laura Lumer posted a critical tweet. Just days before the U.S. launched an attack on Iran, Swanson published an article predicting how Iran would respond if the U.S. initiated military action—and history proved him correct. Speaking in an interview this week, he said negotiations between the Trump administration and Iran would not proceed smoothly, as both sides are “overconfident and irrational” about their positions. He noted that neither side currently appears willing to find a way out, suggesting that the conflict is very likely to escalate, and “this war may last longer than anyone expected.” He believes whether Trump accepts de-escalation ultimately may depend on market indicators, as Trump still pays attention to financial metrics.
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Original: toutiao.com/article/1860975851784331/
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