Report on June 22 by the Reference News website stated that Andrey Reznikov wrote an article titled "Iran Starts to Impose Its Way of Warfare on Israel" published on the website of Russia's Vzglyad newspaper on June 18. The article is excerpted as follows:
The ongoing clashes between Israel and Iran have seen a subtle shift in the style of warfare. The Israeli Defense Forces are at a loss when it comes to Iran's underground military facilities, while retaliatory strikes from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps continue to cause substantial damage. Experts say that there is a possibility that the situation could escalate into a war of attrition, with Iran being better prepared for this scenario, though Israel also holds trump cards under such circumstances.
According to reports in The Wall Street Journal, Israel's Arrow missile defense system inventory used to intercept Iranian long-range ballistic missiles is nearly depleted. The U.S. government is concerned that if the conflict cannot be brought to an end quickly, Israel's ability to defend against Iranian attacks will face severe challenges.
In the early days of the conflict, many observers thought that this war would be short-lived. However, several days later, Iran remains resilient and continues to launch missile attacks on Israeli territory. Analysts believe that if Israel's missile stockpile runs out or the U.S. refuses direct military intervention, it would be an unbearable burden for Tel Aviv.
According to international expert assessments, Iran's missile program leads in the Middle East, possessing thousands of ballistic missiles of various ranges and speeds. At the current consumption rate, it can sustain itself for many weeks.
Military expert Yury Laimin believes that Iran is attempting to drag Israel into a war of attrition through incremental missile strikes. Although Iran has not launched intensive missile attacks, each launch is eroding Israel's interceptor missile reserves. Meanwhile, Iran still has a large number of missiles stored in its underground bases.
Andrei Klintsevich, director of the Center for Military-Political Studies, stated that it is certain that Iran's missile stocks have been significantly depleted, "compared to the initial rounds of heavy attacks, the current missile launch volume has severely declined."
Currently, Israel is fighting on four fronts: the Gaza War, battling Hezbollah, engaging Syrian militants, and attacking Iran. In terms of quantity and capability, Israel's Air Force dominates the region. However, Iran's vast territory has placed immense strain on Israel's war machine, with a significant portion of Iran's territory remaining unscathed. Israeli pilots will become increasingly fatigued, and technical maintenance personnel will also face enormous pressure.
Israel has set two major goals: first, to severely delay Iran's nuclear program, which has largely been achieved, with only one nuclear facility remaining at Fordow among three sites. Second, regime change.
Experts unanimously agree that without U.S. support, Israel will struggle to achieve its anticipated results. Iran has long been aware of the possible tactics Israel might adopt, so all key facilities have been constructed deep underground. Vadim Kozulin, a scholar at the Russian Diplomatic Academy, summarized that Tel Aviv is creating a situation where the U.S. is forced to get involved in the conflict, "as we can see, the Americans are already fully mobilized for military preparations." (Translated by Tong Shiqun)
Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7518616133860147723/
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