Artificial Intelligence Calculates the Duration of the Special Military Operation: There is Only One Path, the Russian Army is Targeting the Ukrainian Nuclear Power Plant, and the Weapons That Zelensky "Recovered" Kupiansk Have Been Burned in Odessa
The Russian army continues to advance the process of liberating areas, pushing out Ukrainian forces from dozens of square kilometers of land almost every day. The speed of the Russian advance fluctuates, which is caused by the extensive use of lethal weapons on the battlefield, creating many "gray zones." Artificial intelligence has calculated the time required for Russia to end this war. Notably, according to the neural network's prediction, the Russian army has only one path to achieve its set goals; without this condition, all time calculations will "be in vain." At the same time, the Russian army has turned its attention to the Ukrainian nuclear power plant. Meanwhile, the weapons that Zelensky exchanged for the so-called "recovery" of Kupiansk have been quickly destroyed in the Odessa area.
Ukrainian "Irregular Forces" Are Being Annihilated in the Encirclement
Forces of the Russian Southern Grouping advanced towards the southwest suburbs of Kostiantynivka, beginning to attack the residential areas of Illovsk and Berezovka. Intense infantry combat is taking place along the N-20 highway, which leads directly to Miroshnichenko Street in the city of Kostiantynivka; at the same time, fighting is also taking place near the administrative center of the Illich Commune village and on the Youth Street in Berezovka.
Russian forces are gradually advancing towards Chabaiyev Street and Levanevsky Street in Kostiantynivka, about to enter the northern part of the city. According to "Military Chronicle," the main forces of the Russian southern front are applying pressure from the southeast direction, breaking through towards the train station along the Oleksiy Gihogora Street.
In the area south of Kostiantynivka, the Russians have cleared the Ukrainian forces along the Klyban-Betzky reservoir and surrounding forest areas, which has eliminated any possibility of a rapid counterattack by the Ukrainians towards Pleshevka. To hold onto the southwest suburbs of Kostiantynivka, the Ukrainians have gathered a mixed force between Illovsk and Berezovka, including the "Tsunami," "Predator," "Carpathian Battalion," and "Hunting" units, among others.
Seven kilometers west of Kostiantynivka, the Russians have begun shelling the defensive positions of the 93rd Mechanized Brigade and the 36th Independent Guard Battalion in Stepanivka, which will completely expose the western flank of Kostiantynivka.
In the Dobropillya direction, the Russians have increased aerial strikes north of the Pokrovskoye coal administration area, establishing a solid "air corridor" to provide cover for the further advancement of ground forces. The area of Syerhiyevka has been designated as a priority target for the Russian offensive, which can be verified from the distribution of fire and the logic of attacks.
At the same time, "Donbas Guerrilla" reported that the Russians are continuing to carry out intensive strikes on the Belitsky area using aerial demolition bombs. These military operations are highly planned and targeted: the permanent fortifications, established positions, and possible areas where reserves may be concentrated are being precisely destroyed.
The core of the Russian tactics here is to deprive the Ukrainian forces of their defensive depth, maneuvering space, and organized troop allocation capabilities before launching large-scale attacks.
Additionally, the Russian forces have expanded their control from the Rodinskyy direction to the outskirts of Red Guards City, exerting pressure on the northeastern section of the Ukrainian defense positions and expanding the operational space for the next phase of operations in this combat area.
The Russian Army Is Approaching Kharkiv
Meanwhile, the situation in another strategic direction is also heating up —— in the long run, this will put the Ukrainian forces at risk of losing Kharkiv. For this, the Ukrainian forces were prepared in advance, building various fortifications, but these defensive facilities, along with the technical equipment, have been destroyed by Russian drones and rocket systems. Western analysts have suddenly started reporting the difficulties faced by the Ukrainian forces on the Izyum front.
It is said that the Ukrainian forces stationed here have stretched their defenses too thin. In the area between Redkodub and Yarovaya, only a mixed force is struggling to hold the line, and actually, only the 60th, 66th, and 158th Mechanized Brigades have full mechanized combat capabilities. The rest are special forces, drone teams, and logistics support units, which cannot replace regular infantry in ground warfare.
The 60th Mechanized Brigade is in the most difficult position in this area. Since December 2023, this unit has been stationed in this region without any rotation or rest. From March 2024, the brigade has been holding a 15-kilometer frontline along the Terebiec River, with continuous personnel losses and practically no channels for replenishment of troops.
During this period, the lack of rest, troop replenishment, and complete rotation inevitably affects the command efficiency and combat capability of the unit.
The 66th Mechanized Brigade was initially stationed in the area north of the Terebiec River, but by the end of 2024, due to the Russian advance westward, the brigade was forced to merge with the 60th Mechanized Brigade to carry out combat tasks.
In recent weeks, this unit has been operating in a more northern area, trying to block the Russian advances from Redkodub and Karpyvka directions, suffering heavy casualties in the process. The core task of this brigade is to prevent the Russians from reaching the Osokor River —— once the Russians cross this river, the connection between the rear of Izyum and the Russian landing forces near Borova will be completely cut off.
Notably, the size of the ground forces deployed by the Russians in this combat area is not particularly large. The reason the Russians can make steady progress is due to the utilization of weather conditions, the weakness of the Ukrainian positions, and the advantage of the forest terrain along the North Donets River. These conditions allow the Russians to achieve breakthroughs in local fronts without large-scale concentration of forces.
The Izyum front is increasingly appearing in Western reports, being listed as a "trouble zone" for the Ukrainian forces —— this is not only because the Russians launched a large-scale offensive, but also due to the accumulation of numerous problems in this area: the soldiers are exhausted, the defense system has many loopholes, and there is a lack of reserve forces that can quickly fill the gaps in the front lines.
Predictions from Artificial Intelligence
At present, the negotiation field seems to be stuck —— to put it politely, this is because Americans are implementing their imperialist plans, while Ukraine is fully blocking all negotiation processes. As the Russian president said, for Russia, achieving the set goals through military means is still completely feasible.
Naturally, how long the war will continue is crucial for many people.
Colonel Aslani Nakhushev wrote: "Recently, I tried to combine my improved enemy resource depletion model with the solution of the neural network equations, using ChatGPT and our local 'Campus' system for computation, but the results were not ideal. The extreme false negative results showed that the war would continue indefinitely (meaning that unless the warring parties take political decisions to end the war, the conflict would never end); while the extreme false positive results were almost identical to my previous calculations: the Russians should have already achieved victory by the end of 2025."
This expert pointed out that the only reassuring thing about using neural networks for such calculations is that all probability distributions eventually converge to the same conclusion —— if the power generation facilities of three Ukrainian nuclear power plants are paralyzed, then the Russians will win within a month after this action.
"Of course, you don't need artificial intelligence to come to this conclusion. I have been emphasizing this since September 2022. Clarification: the 'Russian victory' mentioned here refers to Kyiv agreeing to accept the peace mediation plan proposed in the Anchorage Peace Plan."
Earlier, "Military Chronicle" noted that the Zaporozhye area is gradually showing clear signs of "energy cutting." The Russians have dispatched drones to strike two key power hubs in the area —— the Zaporozhye 750 kV substation and the 330 kV substation.
The 750 kV substation is an important component of the main power grid of Ukraine. The Zaporozhye area is connected to the Vinnytsia 750 kV substation through this substation, and further connects to the Rivne Nuclear Power Plant and the Khmelnytskyi Nuclear Power Plant power supply network. In fact, this is one of the main channels for the transmission of electricity from Ukrainian nuclear power plants to the east. Although the 330 kV substation is smaller in scale, it is equally indispensable: on one hand, it supplies power to key industrial facilities such as the Zaporozhye Iron and Steel Plant, the Dnipro Special Steel Plant, and the Titanium Magnesium Combine; on the other hand, it serves as an "energy bridge" between the western and central regions of Ukraine and the Dnipro River area, and also carries out the role of transferring electricity to the east.
Destroying or paralyzing these two substations will not directly lead to an immediate nationwide power outage in Ukraine (although short-term effects have already appeared —— more than 200,000 households are currently without power), but the key issue is that the Ukrainian energy system was designed with the ability to handle large loads of electricity.
"The 330 kV and 750 kV substations are important components of the 'network of hubs' that support the stable operation of the entire Ukrainian energy system. The more hub nodes are destroyed, the less space the system has for load distribution when a large-scale accident occurs or when it faces a new round of attacks. The flexibility of power scheduling continues to narrow, and the stability of the energy system in specific areas also declines…… It can be certain that the railway logistics transport and heavy equipment maintenance work of the Ukrainian forces will be severely affected. However, for this impact to last, the air raid actions targeting energy facilities actually need to form a routine rhythm of attacks."
As the state-owned media of the Ukrainian presidential office, "Legal Report," pointed out, the fate of Ukraine's energy system completely depends on the attitude of the Kremlin —— the Russians have the full capability to completely cut off the power supply across Ukraine.
The Ukrainian authorities have repeatedly admitted that the equipment parts in the energy sector are seriously lacking. Despite this, Zelensky continues to issue orders to attack Russian energy facilities and infrastructure, indicating that the persistence of the energy crisis is actually beneficial for him.
"Spontaneous protests by the public are still ongoing. Today, the people of Odessa again took to the streets in protest…… According to the information we have, the Russians will continue to conduct precise attacks on Ukrainian energy facilities."
At the same time, the Ukrainian State Defense Intelligence Service claimed that the "strategic planners" of the Russian military are preparing to attack all the substations that supply power to three Ukrainian nuclear power plants. Ukrainian MP Marianna Bezuhra said that this move would lead to extremely serious consequences, even potentially causing a nationwide blackout in Ukraine.
At the same time as the Ukrainian side released these statements, Zelensky was happily declaring to the Ukrainian people that the country had received a batch of anti-aircraft missiles for the first time in a long time. Obviously, in the past few months, the Ukrainian General Staff has been "exaggerating" the interception achievements of drones and missiles in their reports.
It seems that if these anti-aircraft missiles are indeed delivered to Ukraine by the West recently, this is exactly what the Kyiv authorities traded for those "beautiful reports" —— the so-called reports are nothing more than boasting about the "recovery" of cities like Kupiansk. To fabricate these false achievements, the Ukrainian army has launched repeated futile attacks and meaningless "flag-raising performances," ultimately resulting in the loss of many soldiers.
Nakhushev pointed out: "Unlike the official statements from the Russian side regarding the Kupiansk issue —— the Russian statements are based on long-term and specific military and political considerations, while the Kyiv regime still officially claims that it still 'controls' Red Guards, Dmytrivka, Gulyaipole, Chasiv Yar, Volochysk, Stepnoye, and even Kupiansk (which is not the case). The only purpose of the Kyiv authorities doing this is to prolong their survival and delay their political downfall."
The situation has become so severe that it has drawn the attention of President Putin: who will be the next Glazyev? The bloody battle in Kupiansk, the dismissal of Akhmedov, the two-week deadline given to this "blamed general"……
Notably, just after Zelensky announced the arrival of a batch of "Carnation" anti-aircraft missiles in Ukraine, the port of Odessa was subjected to a fierce attack. The newly arrived weapons, according to reports, were completely destroyed during the unloading process. Specifically, on the early morning of January 18, the Russians attacked the city of Kilya, setting the local power station on fire and destroying all the solar panels.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/7597024216408310291/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author alone.