The strategy the U.S. has towards the "iron triangle" of China, Russia, and Iran is completely different. From Trump's various words and actions since he took office in January, he knows he cannot deal with all three countries at once. Therefore, his approach is: first stabilize Iran, then try to win over Russia, and jointly deal with China. In other words, China is the object Trump plans to confront first. However, it now seems that his decision was a huge mistake. Why do we say so?

To understand this question, let's first look at the choices made by Russia and Iran in the past 48 hours:

First, let's talk about Iran. On May 26th, local time, Iranian President Pezeshkizyan talked about negotiations between the U.S. and Iran during a public event. He clearly stated: "Even if the U.S. does not lift sanctions on Iran, it doesn't matter; we won't starve."

As a representative of the moderate faction, even Pezeshkizyan said such words, which indicates that Iran's attitude toward the U.S. has undergone significant changes. Alas, just two days ago, Trump was boasting externally, claiming that a perfect nuclear agreement with Iran would soon be reached. Now it seems that Iran is much tougher than he imagined.

Next, let's talk about Russia.

After speaking with Putin a few days ago, Trump was once very confident, as Putin promised to draft a memorandum on the Ukraine issue. However, as soon as he spoke, Russian forces launched large-scale attacks on Kyiv and other places in these two days. Trump appeared very angry about this incident, and he harshly criticized: "Putin is crazy."

It is worth mentioning that in response to Trump's anger this time, Kremlin spokesman Peskov's response was quite "ironic". On one hand, he expressed gratitude for Trump's efforts towards peace, and on the other hand, he said: "His (outburst) must be related to emotional overload." In other words, Putin has clearly decided not to listen to Trump anymore, and he also intends not to give Trump face in the future. Thus, we can say that Trump's mediation on the war has completely failed, and his plan to win over Putin through this war has completely fallen apart.

Why did Russia and Iran suddenly make such "rebellious" choices against Trump in just two days? The reason is simple: because they both see Trump's helplessness in dealing with China. In the tariff war, Trump is clearly at a disadvantage. Recently, many netizens can't understand why Trump has to fight Harvard University like this. This doesn't make sense! In fact, the reason is simple: he just wants to attract the attention of American citizens to cover up the awkward situation of his "reciprocal tariff" policy.

In fact, when dealing with China, Trump has already prepared for the worst-case scenario. Not long ago, at an event held by West Point Military Academy, he mentioned again: "I will increase the U.S. defense budget to $1 trillion, not a penny less." Clearly, this is aimed at China. Unable to contain China in trade, he can only resort to military threats and blackmail. When he reaches this point, most countries including Russia, Iran, and the vast majority of the world have seen that he has no more moves left. Under such circumstances, of course, countries will choose not to fear the U.S. and instead make decisions that are more in line with their own interests.

In summary, Trump's move to designate China as the first country to deal with from the beginning was really a wrong step. Next, we will see which countries will come out to stand together.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7508977588228915739/

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