Three Uncertain Prospects for the Future:
Stable Transition: The Rodriguez government has reached a limited cooperation with the US, introducing US oil companies in exchange for regime survival, but must balance domestic factions and US demands (currently with a high probability).
National Uprising: Domestic factions failed to compromise, leading to anarchy and social unrest.
Long-term Confrontation: After the US military进驻, the Venezuelan armed forces will resist in the form of guerrilla warfare, reminiscent of Afghanistan and Iraq models.
Rodriguez must find a balance; hard resistance is definitely not feasible, nor is submission.
Hard resistance means opposing the United States directly. Trump has previously stated that if Rodriguez does not comply with the US's wishes, his fate could be worse than Maduro's. It sounds like a threat, but he can actually do it.
Going down the pro-US path is also not feasible, as Maduro's supporters at home will not accept it, and domestic unrest or even civil war is bound to break out. Once this happens, the country will be in chaos.
Trapped in a dilemma, stuck between a rock and a hard place, all of this is caused by the United States.
The US captures the President of Venezuela
Original: toutiao.com/article/1853713062986752/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.