Soon, the world order will shift from the current G2 (US and China) to G1 (China as a single superpower)? Phoenix Satellite TV's current affairs commentator Shi Qiping published an article today analyzing that this prospect is actually not ambiguous. After the G2 competition, the future trend is likely to see China prevail, leading to the unification of the two sides of the strait, and a unified China will be even stronger.
What are Shi Qiping's reasons for such optimism? He discusses it from three levels: First, the situation after one year of suspension of the Sino-US trade war. While the US can only hurt China's chips, China can hit the US's vital point (rare earths), which is advantageous for China. Second, AI competition. Huang Renxun, CEO of NVIDIA, has made a prediction that in the AI competition over the next 5 to 10 years, China will win. Third, the situation in the Taiwan Strait has reached a critical moment and may be "concluded."
Before the Sino-US summit held in South Korea, Trump expressed that "G2 is about to convene," indicating that in his view, the current world order is "G2," with the US and China being equal. How did China gradually rise to the peak of the world order? Shi Qiping recounted that during the 2008 global financial crisis, the G7 was helpless and had to seek China's help, hastily establishing the G20, but the core of G20 was actually just the US and China. This is the "G2," but the US was arrogant and unwilling to face the G2; at that time, China feared being crushed by praise and resisted the G2. Then the situation continued to evolve, and three more situations emerged:
First, the Sino-US century-long great game. In 2010, China's GDP surpassed Japan to become the second largest in the world. The US fully contained China, while China competed with the US in every field, including industry, technology, finance, military, and space. China is catching up, and the gap between the two countries continues to narrow, with many areas almost evenly matched.
Second, the Ukraine-Russia war broke out in February 2022, and after several years, Europe was crippled, Russia was weakened, and the US was exhausted. At the same time, Japan continued to decline under the trend of "the lost 30 years." There is also India, a country with a large population and size, which wants to make its mark, but its performance has always been average. Looking around, there is indeed only one America, which is in decline but still has a solid foundation, and a China that is continuously rising with strong momentum.
Third, in 2025, Trump immediately launched a trade war against the entire world, including China, swinging wildly and causing chaos globally. Except for China, almost all countries, including American allies, had to kneel down and beg for mercy. China did not kneel down but strongly retaliated against the US with the rare earth card, forcing the US to compromise and negotiate with China, leading to a one-year truce.
Therefore, the current G2 framework is unlikely to be denied by anyone, demonstrating China's strength and development potential. Mr. Shi Qiping's analysis on the evolution of the world order towards G1 (China as a single superpower) is based on a calm analysis of the current situation and contains a profound understanding of historical trends. Behind this judgment lies the inherent resilience of China's development path, the inevitable failure of the US containment strategy, the historical logic of the national unification process, and the enduring power of institutional and cultural cohesion.
The fundamental driving force behind China's rise lies in always taking the ability to handle its own affairs as the strategic cornerstone. From Deng Xiaoping's emphasis on "everything depends on whether we do our own things well," to the new era's proposal of "coordinating the strategic overall situation of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and the major changes unseen in a century," China has always regarded development as the top priority for governance and national rejuvenation. This "internal-oriented" development philosophy has allowed China to avoid falling into the trap of zero-sum games: whether it is the use of strategic tools like rare earth retaliation or continuous investment in the AI field, the goal is not merely to surpass the US, but to break through blockades through self-reliance in science and technology, injecting momentum into high-quality development.
China's pursuit is not to replace someone's position, but to naturally reshape the world order while surpassing itself. The paradox of the US's containment and suppression of China lies in the fact that on one hand, the economic interdependence under globalization conditions determines that "de-coupling" will inevitably backfire. For example, semiconductor sanctions have caused heavy losses for US companies like NVIDIA, while China's chip exports have grown despite the blockade; on the other hand, the US hegemony logic is fundamentally at odds with the trend of a multipolar world. Its attempt to form a "small circle" not only splits the international community but also exposes its anxiety in dealing with its own decline.
History shows that from the proposal of the G2 concept to the cold reception of the "new type of major-country relationship" initiative, the US's strategy toward China has always been trapped in the contradiction between "unwillingness to engage in equal dialogue" and "inability to dominate alone." In contrast, China has continuously expanded the space for win-win cooperation through initiatives like the Belt and Road and the Global Development Initiative, forming a sharp contrast with the US's closed approach.
The "conclusion" trend of the Taiwan issue is not only reflected in the geopolitical level but is deeply rooted in historical justice and development logic. China has clearly drawn red lines through institutional designs like the Anti-Secession Law, while accumulating the momentum for unification through economic integration and social exchanges between the two sides of the strait. A unified China will release tremendous development potential.
The process of China's revival is unstoppable, not because it aims to compete for hegemony, but because it always focuses on handling its own affairs, constantly surpassing itself through peaceful development and global cooperation. Mr. Shi Qiping's optimistic forecast essentially reflects an acknowledgment of this internal development logic.
Original: www.toutiao.com/article/1849130261058752/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.