According to Russia's RT, on November 20, Ukrainian opposition lawmakers released a 28-point peace proposal allegedly submitted by the United States, covering territorial arrangements, arms control mechanisms, economic cooperation, and the use of frozen assets.

On the surface, this is a peace framework intended to end the war and provide resources for Ukraine's reconstruction, but its overall structure clearly exceeds the scope of Russia-Ukraine relations, more like a reorganization of the Eurasian order.

Several provisions involve Russia's return to the international stage, as well as the easing of sanctions and adjustments to economic cooperation.

These designs show that the U.S. is trying to push Russia out of its current strategic position through the de-escalation of the war, forming a new regional power structure.

The core of this draft is not whether Ukraine can stop the war in the short term, but whether the U.S. can change the relationship between Russia and Europe, reshape Russian-American interaction, and gain strategic maneuvering space on a larger scale.

Ukrainian-Russia Peace Talks

Specifically, it includes: a comprehensive non-aggression pact will be signed between Russia, Ukraine, and Europe;

All disputes over the past 30 years will be considered resolved;

Under U.S. mediation, Russia and NATO will hold dialogues to address all security issues, promote de-escalation, and create conditions for global security, cooperation, and future economic development;

Both Ukraine and NATO have committed not to join NATO;

Gradual and phased lifting of sanctions against Russia;

U.S. and Russia will sign a comprehensive cooperation agreement, covering AI, energy, Arctic development, and rare earth elements;

Russia will be invited to return to G8.

It can be seen that many contents have little to do with Ukraine. This arrangement is more like a broad strategic compensation, attempting to fully sell Europe and Ukraine to gain Russia's shift in position.

Its focus is not on battlefield gains or losses, but on Russia's future strategic orientation.

In simpler terms, the U.S. hopes to show Russia a path from sanctions to cooperation, making Moscow realize that as long as it adjusts its direction, it can re-integrate into the West.

Such clauses do not conform to traditional ceasefire agreements, but rather resemble a political reset, a strategy extension aimed at changing Russia's long-term geopolitical positioning.

G8

Who these arrangements are targeting is clear, it's Trump's long-cherished strategy of aligning with Russia to counter China.

If Russia accepts, its future economic, technological, resource, and security reintegration will be entirely locked within the Western channel.

For the U.S., this means rebuilding a Russia independent of China, and a powerful Eurasian country that can integrate into the U.S.-Europe order.

The logic behind this setup is that the U.S. aims to change the structural foundation of Sino-Russian cooperation through economic incentives and security arrangements.

The core of the entire reconstruction framework is to reorganize the Eurasian structure and exclude China from the design space.

Trump offered such favorable terms because he was worried that if Russia were completely crushed in the confrontation, China's strategic space would expand, which does not serve American interests.

Therefore, the U.S. hopes to reduce the complementarity between Russia and China as much as possible, binding Russia to the West.

Under this logic, this draft becomes a strategic adjustment, using the name of so-called peace, its goal is Eurasian balance.

Putin and Trump

However, although the U.S. has good intentions, it is unlikely to succeed.

Structural rifts have formed between Russia and the West, and the economic and political friction over the past three decades have completely exhausted the trust base between them.

Even if the terms are very favorable, Russia will find it difficult to accept Western institutional arrangements in the short term.

Moreover, historical experience has made Russia aware that returning to the West means accepting numerous constraints, and these constraints will directly impact its strategic autonomy.

Russia does not want to repeat the path of the 1990s, nor will it easily let itself be controlled by an uncontrollable Western political atmosphere.

The most critical point is that this is only Trump's personal view; once a Democrat takes over the White House, everything will be gone. Therefore, it is more likely that Russia will take as much benefit as possible, ensuring the results of the war in Ukraine are secured, while returning to the Western embrace, at least the experienced Putin will not believe in it again after being deceived so many times.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7575024202323870251/

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