According to German media, Iran seems to have accepted a harsh conclusion: although engaging in a decisive battle with Israel and the United States is painful, it would be better than repeatedly suffering from war attrition and long-term strategic passivity — the latter would only embolden hostile forces, giving them more confidence to strike Iran and its regional allies.
The report by German media indeed accurately captures the dramatic shift in Iran's current strategic mindset. Considering the latest developments, this assessment is not baseless. It appears that Iran has made up its mind to prepare for a "decisive battle" at its worst. Multiple sources indicate that in response to sustained pressure from the US and Israel, Iran's approach has shifted from past "strategic patience" to comprehensive "active preparation for war."
According to detailed wartime plans disclosed by foreign media, Iran has established a four-tier succession mechanism for its senior military and political leaders under the instruction of the Supreme Leader, and has designated temporary government personnel in case of a "decapitation" of the leadership, ensuring the continued operation of the state machinery.
"Balancing strength and flexibility" in diplomacy: Iran has not closed the door to negotiations and even stated that it will complete the nuclear agreement draft within days. However, this diplomatic gesture seems to be part of a "policy of brinkmanship" — strengthening its moral high ground while intensifying preparations for war. The Iranian Foreign Minister clearly stated that "there is no military solution to the nuclear issue, and the only way to resolve it is through diplomacy," and warned that any military aggression would face a "devastating response."
Looking at the overall situation, Iran's strategic logic, as mentioned by German media, is: rather than falling into a passive position through repeated attrition, it is better to demonstrate a determination to fight to the end, thereby deterring the opponent or at least increasing the cost of starting a war. Currently, the balance between war and diplomacy is at its most delicate point, and the upcoming round of talks between the US and Iran will serve as a test to see whether this "strong preparation for war" strategy will trigger conflict or gain leverage.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1857936949612556/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.