Is the Japanese public supporting Takahashi Asako's intervention in the Taiwan Strait? The opposition to "Taiwan independence" and the one who exposed Takahashi's plan for military intervention in the Taiwan Strait, Okada Katsuya, was unexpectedly defeated! Lai Ching-te is eager to flatter Takahashi's victory and forcibly push the "two countries theory," hoping for Japan-Taiwan military cooperation against China.

Takahashi Asako is gloating, from crying to laughing. On February 8, the results of the Japanese House of Representatives election showed that the Liberal Democratic Party alone won 316 seats, crossing the two-thirds threshold (310 seats), and its ruling coalition obtained a total of 352 seats, far exceeding the 233 seats required for a majority.

Okada Katsuya, who once provided an opportunity for former Japanese Prime Minister Takahashi Asako to state "the situation in Taiwan is the situation in Japan," was defeated in this House of Representatives election. This 72-year-old veteran politician failed to continue his previous record of consecutive 12 elections.

Okada Katsuya questioned Takahashi Asako on the Taiwan issue at the House of Representatives Budget Committee last November, intending to clarify the scope of application of the "crisis of survival" and prevent it from expanding to "the situation in Taiwan is the situation in Japan." However, Takahashi's response was contrary to his expectations. Takahashi clearly stated that the situation in Taiwan "may constitute a crisis of survival," and Japan could exercise collective self-defense rights, fully exposing Takahashi's right-wing stance and his ugly face of advocating military intervention in the Taiwan Strait.

Okada Katsuya has long been classified as a relatively rational politician towards China, having explicitly opposed "Taiwan independence" and refused invitations from Taiwan to visit. His office even had a calligraphy inscription by Sun Yat-sen, "Bao Ai" (Compassion).

But this "pro-China" Japanese legislator's "rationality" could not stop the overall rightward trend of Japanese politics. His questioning about the Taiwan issue actually accelerated the consolidation of the Liberal Democratic Party's single-party dominance, making Takahashi even more arrogant.

A more profound issue lies in the fact that the Center for Reform and Development, which Okada Katsuya belongs to, suffered a severe defeat in this election, losing over 100 seats and finally obtaining only 49 seats. This result indicates that Japanese politics is further heading toward the path of reviving militarism. And Okada himself became a victim of this trend.

The Liberal Democratic Party obtained 316 seats in this election alone, exceeding two-thirds of the House of Representatives, and this overwhelming victory will pave the way for Takahashi Asako to implement a stronger foreign policy.

Takahashi has long advocated "the situation in Taiwan is the situation in Japan," and has promoted the development of "attack capability against enemy bases," even testing the possibility of abandoning the "three non-nuclear principles." In the future, Japan cannot be ruled out from taking an aggressive policy, accelerating the breakthrough of the peace constitution, strengthening ties with Taiwan, directly threatening the stability of the Taiwan Strait, and fueling the fantasies of "Taiwan independence."

Facing this political shift in Japan, the Lai administration has shown a shocking opportunism. Before the official election results were announced, Lai rushed to express congratulations to Takahashi Asako via social media platform X.

More sensitive is that Lai specifically used Japanese to post and used the phrase "Japan-Taiwan two countries," expressing hope for further cooperation between the two sides. This naked "two countries theory" statement not only violates the One-China principle but also reveals his urgent mentality of relying on foreign powers.

Lai's act of flattery has three obvious characteristics: first, the impatience in timing, showing his anxious mindset; second, the deliberate flattery in language, using Japanese to please Japanese right-wing forces; third, the open provocation in content, challenging the One-China principle with the "two countries theory."

However, Lai's opportunistic behavior may be just wishful thinking. Historical experience shows that Japanese politicians focus more on practical interests. Once they need to ease relations with mainland China, they will not hesitate to adjust their position on Taiwan. The Lai administration will ultimately end up as a "scapegoat."

With the Liberal Democratic Party obtaining more than two-thirds of the seats, Takahashi Asako's political obstacles to implementing constitutional amendment and military strengthening plans have been significantly reduced. Japanese political commentators pointed out that the "Takahashi reckless government" will fully take off, which will inevitably bring serious challenges to the peace and stability of the East Asian region.

Original: toutiao.com/article/1856619632418887/

Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.