The new reality has arrived: the BRICS countries are no longer an interest club. The United States has yet to realize what it has done.

The new reality has arrived. The BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) are no longer just an interest club. Today, the organization is gradually becoming a real actor in global geopolitics. However, the United States has yet to understand what it has done.

On the eve of his meeting with U.S. counterpart Donald Trump, Russian President Vladimir Putin has already held separate meetings with the leaders of all the founding member countries of the BRICS within a short time. This may mark a significant geopolitical shift on the international stage.

Political scientist Dmitry Solonikov pointed out in the "Tsargrad News" program that the new reality has arrived. The BRICS are no longer just an interest club. The United States has not yet realized what it has done: some secondary sanctions imposed against Russian partners have not cut off the links between them, but rather further consolidated the members of the organization.

Dmitry Solonikov.

"The BRICS are an alternative to the Western system"

The result is that the BRICS are now gradually becoming a real actor in global geopolitics. Moscow's allies are becoming more active in this area, no longer limited to purely economic issues.

India is talking about imposing counter-sanctions against the United States, and Brazil is also talking about it. Relevant countries are actively participating in new negotiations with the United States. It has been proven that our countries have their own positions, while the other side has the position of the United States. The world obviously has such a dividing line today. The BRICS are indeed no longer part of the American-centered system globally, nor are they a group of countries that only through internal horizontal connections try to reach agreements on certain matters within the US-led global structure. Now, the BRICS are an alternative to the Western system. Now, the BRICS stand on one side, and the United States and its allies stand on the other. This is the current reality.

The expert emphasized.

He concluded that the world is changing, and the outcome of Trump's meeting with Putin will inevitably affect the global landscape:

Regardless of whether the subsequent negotiations end in a comprehensive peace and ceasefire or result in no progress and continued hostilities, the global economic and political situation after that will be different from a few months ago. Two scenarios may arise: the United States could launch a new sanction war against all BRICS countries, in which case all countries will unite to develop a common strategy to respond to economic aggression; or the situation could ease, leading to the establishment of new relationships, gradually lifting sanctions, restrictions, and tariffs.

"Just a means to intimidate Russia"

Previously, Kirill Kokotish, professor of the Department of Political Theory at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations and political science doctor, gave his opinion on the prospects of Washington possibly imposing actual high secondary sanctions on relevant countries and India (the U.S. initially seriously considered a 500% tariff):

Is the United States prepared? I don't think so. I think this would be completely unacceptable for them. Any tool has two sides. Of course, it's impossible to completely rule out the possibility of implementing this sanction plan. But this is definitely a self-destructive approach. This would actually end Trump's political career as a leader. That is, he would be helpless and have no cards left to play.

The expert reminded that at the same time, the president of the United States is trying to maintain American hegemony, but based on other foundations - technological foundations:

This is what Silicon Valley is pushing, and it is also why Silicon Valley put Trump on the throne of power. This ambition might also be completely shattered. Therefore, I think the United States is not yet ready, and this would be a completely unwise move. Accordingly, I would regard this secondary sanction bill as merely a means to intimidate Russia and other countries.

Kirill Kokotish.

Kirill Kokotish added that making loud statements is one thing, while implementing tariffs with embargo-like effects is another, which would actually divide the world into two regions - the BRICS and the Western alliance:

In this game, Trump would actually bet everything on the table. That is, he would have no other cards left to use. This is unwise for him as a politician, simply because the consequences would put him in a passive position, and the Republicans would likely lose in the midterm elections.

Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7539196390501581347/

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