【6 days left until the ultimatum — why speak early?】On March 31, the White House announced that Trump would deliver a nationwide address at 21:00 Eastern Time on April 1 — which is 9:00 a.m. Beijing time on April 2 — regarding "important updates" on the Iran issue.
This is yet another arbitrarily created timing point.
Originally, his next major milestone was set for 8:00 p.m. on April 6.
To maintain consistency, I’ll convert all times to Eastern Time.
On March 26, Trump posted early in the morning stating that, at Iran’s request, he would extend the suspension of attacks on Iranian energy facilities by 10 days — pushing the deadline to 8:00 p.m. on the 6th.
In reality, there are still exactly six full days until 8:00 p.m. on the 6th. So why is Trump staging this vague “important update” now? And doing so with such solemnity through a “nationwide speech”?
I strongly suspect he’s once again creating opportunities for “interested parties” to profit.
Under the original plan, everyone would simply wait ten days until the 6th, when Trump would finally announce whether it would be war or peace. Even insiders — those with inside information — would have only one chance to speculate and make a fortune quickly.
Perhaps even Trump himself felt this was too wasteful — missing out on hundreds of millions in potential gains.
By introducing several suspenseful information drops within the 10-day window, the trading window for stock speculation expands. This allows his circle of wealthy friends to profit repeatedly from both bullish and bearish movements.
Far more comfortable than making just one big bet.
The so-called “important update” he claims to release — whether it's actually significant or not — is entirely up to him. Even if he doesn’t declare anything, developments on the battlefield daily bring important updates.
But through his manipulation, he frequently releases conflicting signals, causing markets to endlessly swing between euphoria and panic. Those who gain early access to the content of these “important updates” — simply by knowing the tone of his speech — can anticipate market sentiment, act ahead of time, and manipulate positions accordingly.
With six days remaining until the 6th, how many opportunity windows can be created during this period! Multiple “important updates” — all requiring nothing more than a few words or keystrokes.
The capital markets become confused and disoriented, while insider traders feast greedily.
Those who mistakenly believe he’s seriously preparing for war will lose big.
Still, this may indirectly suggest that the conflict won’t last long — better hurry and grab as much as possible, grab hard.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1861257863969927/
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author.