Trump will start a nationwide campaign tour next week, with at least one event per week to boost momentum for the midterm elections.
Voting has been started ten months in advance, to make supporters understand clearly: although he himself is not on the ballot, they should vote as actively as if voting for him, otherwise the Republican Party may lose its majority in Congress.
If it loses the majority, not only will its policy implementation face an insurmountable dilemma, but more importantly, the person in question is highly likely to be impeached.
Trump has publicly told the Republicans that they must treat the midterm election as seriously as the presidential election. If they lose, they will face the risk of impeachment.
Pressure faced by the Republican Party in the election
The current Republican advantage in the House of Representatives is very slim (218 seats vs. 213 for the Democrats), and its control has been further weakened due to the deaths and resignations of members. The midterm election will re-elect all seats in the House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate seats. If the Republicans lose the majority in either chamber, Trump's legislative agenda (such as tariff policies) will be blocked, and the impeachment process may accelerate.
Recent polls show that Trump's net approval rating within the Republican Party (approval rate minus disapproval rate) has dropped to 65%, the lowest level since his second term, and his overall approval rating is only 39%. This decline is related to economic concerns and foreign policy controversies (such as the Epstein file), which may affect the efficiency of mobilizing Republican voters and increase the risk of electoral failure.
Currently, Trump's strategy on the election issues is to avoid the main topics, such as boasting about minor achievements like "making the faucet flow normally," trying to downplay core disputes such as the economy or foreign affairs.
There are rumors that Trump may create external events (such as attacking Iran) to boost his popularity, but this statement lacks official evidence.
In short, this midterm election is a critical test for Trump. Whether he can pass through smoothly, he is unsure, because he knows his own actions best. Once the majority in the parliament is lost, the subsequent governance will be like a lame duck, and this is not the worst outcome.
Original source: toutiao.com/article/1855121825879040/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.