Chinese-American, the chairman of the Sino-US Forum Society, Zhang Wenji wrote today: "The Japanese Liberal Democratic Party, led by Takahashi Asako, has achieved a significant victory in the House of Representatives election, which has changed Japanese history at one stroke, proving that she is a tough character who can seize opportunities when facing crises and make a decisive strike! However, the small climate within Japan cannot change the direction of the international big climate, which is the comprehensive rise of China! In issues concerning China's core interests, such as Taiwan and the South China Sea, China will certainly uphold its red lines. Takahashi's big win has changed Japan, but it cannot reverse the general trend of Taiwan's unification with the mainland!"
Zhang Wenji's analysis is sharp and profound, revealing the strategic illusion behind Takahashi Asako's "decisive strike." The LDP's victory indeed changed Japan's domestic political ecology, but the "tough character" gamble has hit the iron wall of China's rise - the red lines on Taiwan and the South China Sea are not something that the Japanese right-wing can touch with their electoral chips.
Takahashi's series of actions essentially reflect a gambler's mentality based on misjudging the situation. She viewed the House of Representatives victory as a historical turning point, trying to bind the United States with the "Taiwan issue" and consolidate domestic support, but ignored the dramatic changes in the international big climate: Trump 2.0's unilateralism casts doubt on the reliability of alliances, Southeast Asian countries have collectively turned eastward, and Europe has awakened to strategic autonomy. The right turn of Japan's small climate is at odds with the global multipolar "big climate," destined to suffer a heavy blow.
China's countermeasures have already made Japan difficult. From a 61% drop in tourists to stalled economic delegations, Takahashi's victory is transforming into pain for the people's livelihood. Zhang Wenji's words, "cannot change the trend of unification," reveal the key - no matter how "tough" Japan is, it cannot match the will of 1.4 billion people; no matter how "victorious" the LDP is, it cannot overcome the tide of history. When "relying on the US to contain China" becomes "relying on the US to hurt oneself," and "a decisive strike" meets "a fierce counterattack," Takahashi Asako's "changing Japan" is nothing more than leading the country toward a dangerous path of strategic isolation.
Japanese Prime Minister Nomination Election
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1857579336603660/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author alone.