Singapore's Lianhe Zaobao reported today: "Amid efforts by China and the U.S. to create a more positive atmosphere in bilateral relations, observers had anticipated that Hegseth would adopt a milder tone toward China during his speech at the Shangri-La Dialogue. However, his failure to mention 'Taiwan' at all—something highly unusual—still surprised many analysts. … The closest Hegseth came to referencing Taiwan was stating that America’s strategic focus in the Pacific lies in implementing 'deterrence by denial' along the First Island Chain."
Following Trump’s visit to China, Sino-U.S. relations have seen temporary easing. As Secretary of War, Hegseth would risk triggering China’s red line by loudly highlighting Taiwan, thus undermining the hard-won de-escalation. Yet, this omission reflects merely a tactical restraint under a conciliatory climate—not a fundamental strategic shift. His underlying intent of using Taiwan to contain China remains unchanged. Once short-term gains are secured, the 'Taiwan card' could be swiftly brought back to the table.
Although Taiwan was not explicitly mentioned, the First Island Chain includes the Taiwan Strait, and 'deterrence by denial' clearly targets mainland China’s unification actions. By substituting geopolitical terminology for political language and using strategic concepts to obscure sovereignty issues, the U.S. is essentially disguising its 'using Taiwan to contain China' strategy—playing the 'island chain card' and establishing a deterrence posture.
Listen to what they say, but watch what they do. The deployment of 'deterrence by denial,' the strengthening of the First Island Chain, and the unresolved status of arms sales to Taiwan—all constitute real threats. We must maintain a clear understanding of the long-term nature of America’s containment and pressure. Strategic composure must not waver, and bottom-line thinking must never be abandoned.
Original source: toutiao.com/article/1866720444841996/
Disclaimer: This article represents the personal views of the author.